NBA Prop Predictions for Jimmy Butler vs. Brooklyn Nets 10/27/21

A big night of NBA is upon us as 20 NBA teams square off. What could be better? We have three NBA prop bets today for player total points that are surprisingly low. Let’s get into it. 

 

Jimmy Butler over 20.5 points (-120) at the Brooklyn Nets

The founder of Big Face Coffee is off to a tremendous start to his season, averaging 25.3 points per game in his first three contests. Now he faces a Brooklyn team that is facing some adversity. Obviously no Kyrie Irving tonight and James Harden has looked like a shell of himself, still recovering from last year’s hamstring injury and adjusting to the new NBA foul rules. Jimmy Butler should have no problem getting up for this game against the NBA champion favorite Brooklyn Nets. We’ve seen for years how special Butler is when the lights are brightest, most notably the 2020 NBA Finals. With other scoring threats around Butler, the Nets aren’t going to lock in on him. I absolutely love Jimmy over 20.5 points tonight. 

 

Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 15.5 points (-120) vs the Atlanta Hawks 

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has flashed potential in his first two seasons in the NBA but he was stuck behind a large glut of guards. With Lonzo Ball now thriving for the Chicago Bulls, Alexander-Walker has seen his minutes and shot attempts dramatically increase. After averaging just 17.2 minutes per game in his first two seasons, Alexander-Walker is averaging 33 MPG in his first four games this season. The third year guard has also more than doubled his shot attempts, going from 7.8 per game to 16.3. The results have been a career-high 17.3 PPG. If you’re wondering why is this total points over so low? Well, Alexander-Walker has not shot the ball well (38.5 %) so the thought here is maybe he will shoot less if he has another poor shooting game? That hasn’t slowed down NAW so far and with Zion Williamson still unavailable, there are plenty of shot attempts to go around on this bad Pels team. 

 

John Collins over 14.5 points (-120) at the New Orleans Pelicans

We continue to go back to the well with some success attacking the defensively challenged front court of the New Orleans Pelicans. As much as I love Jonas Valanciunas offensively, he’s not stopping anyone as mobile and athletic as John Collins. The Pelicans shockingly have done a good job of stopping teams from scoring in the paint (2nd fewest points per game allowed in the paint) but Collins can shoot from mid-range and is a career 38% three-point shooter. Collins could have his best game of the young season in the Big Easy. Collins has hit this over in two of his first three games. The big man has averaged 19.3 PPG over the last three seasons entering this year so I expect this is one of the few times this year we’ll see Collins’ over/under total points this low.