LaMelo Ball vs Milwaukee Bucks: NBA Prop Predictions (12/1/21)

I’ve caught fire in recent weeks with NBA prop bets. Since November 19th, I’m on a 14-5 streak, winning 8.22 units over that span. In this article, I’ll take a look at my favorite bets involving LaMelo Ball vs the Milwaukee Bucks. 

Ball and the Charlotte Hornets will travel to the Fiserv Forum for a matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. These teams currently rank fifth and sixth in the East, and they’re two of the hottest teams in the conference. Charlotte’s 7-3 over their last 10 games, while Milwaukee’s 8-2 over that span. One major concern for the Hornets is their 6-8 road record in 2021. The stakes in this game should solidify minutes for all of the starters from both teams. 

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LaMelo Ball vs Milwaukee Bucks

LaMelo Ball over 19.5 points (-105) vs Milwaukee Bucks

Ball’s looked outstanding throughout the 2021 season, breaking out with 19.3 points in 32.6 minutes per game. He’s shooting 41.1% from the field, 37.8% from beyond the arc, and 89.4% from the line through 23 games. 

Ball’s seen mixed results in recent games. He’s averaging 20.6 points in 34 minutes per game over his last 7 contests. With that being said, he’s only recorded 20+ points in 3 of those 7 games. He missed the mark with 19 and 18 points in his last 2 games, needing only 1 more field goal in each game to hit the number. Ball boasts tremendous upside, though, as he scored 32 and 28 points in 2 of those 7 games. 

He also gets a quietly great matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. According to Fantasy Pros, Milwaukee is giving up the second-most points  (24.8) in the NBA to opposing point guards. 

We’ve seen the Bucks give up a few massive games to point guards throughout the season. Trae Young and Dennis Schroder recently scored 42 and 38 points against them. Prior to that, Tyrese Maxey and Shake Milton combined for 51 points against Milwaukee. 

The second-year star is a focal point of the Charlotte offense, and we could see plenty of scoring from Ball vs the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. 

Bet 0.525 units on LaMelo Ball over 19.5 points (-105) to win 0.5 units on DraftKings Sportsbook - Click the link to receive up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus 

 

LaMelo Ball over 2.5 three-pointers made (+145) vs Milwaukee Bucks

Ball performed well as a rookie, shooting 35.2% from deep over 51 games. He averaged 1.8 makes on 5.1 three-point attempts per game last season. 

Ball’s taken a step forward with his three-point shooting in 2021. He’s averaging 2.7 three-points makes on 7.1 attempts per game. Overall, he’s now shooting 37.8% from deep this season. 

The sophomore sharpshooter quietly recorded 3+ three-point makes in 5 of his last 7 games. He failed to hit a three-pointer against the Minnesota Wolves while posting  2 three-pointers against the Houston Rockets. 

As always with three-pointers, volume is king, and Ball’s averaging 7.3 three-point attempts per game over his last 7 games. If you remove the outlier game against Minnesota, he’s averaging 8 three-point attempts per game, taking 8+ in 4 of those 6 games. 

This is a key matchup, as well. The Bucks are allowing a league-high 3.57 three-point makes per game this season. Ball should continue to see plenty of volume in this game, and these plays correlate, as he’ll need to be hitting his three-pointers to also score 20+ points.  

Bet 0.5 units on LaMelo Ball over 2.5 three-pointers made (+145) to win 0.73 units on DraftKings Sportsbook - Click the link to receive up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus