Diontae Johnson vs Baltimore Ravens: NFL Prop Predictor (Week 13)

We have an inter-divisional battle involving the Pittsburgh Steelers and Diontae Johnson vs the Baltimore Ravens. He continues to be a focal point of the Pittsburgh offense, as he’s their clear WR1 once again for 2021. 

Baltimore will travel to Heinz Field for a matchup between AFC North foes. The Ravens will look to hold onto the divisional lead, while the Steelers are shifting into must-win territory if they want a chance to make the playoffs this season. Baltimore enters this game as -4.5 point favorites, although it opened at only -3. The game total’s dipped from 44.5 to 44 throughout the week. 

This article looks to find the best available bet for Diontae Johnson in this game. 

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Diontae Johnson vs Baltimore Ravens

Diontae Johnson over 73.5 receiving yards (-115)

Johnson’s been enjoying an outstanding season for Pittsburgh. Through 10 games, he boasts 68 receptions for 809 yards and 4 touchdowns on 109 targets. He’s recorded a 62.4% catch rate with a career-high 11.9 yards per reception. 

Johnson’s seen double-digit targets in 8 of his 10 games in 2021, recording 74+ yards in 6 of those games. He missed the mark by only 3 yards in another one of those contests. Overall, he’s been heating up, recording 83+ yards in each of his last 4 games with 10+ targets. 

Diontae Johnson vs Baltimore Ravens is a great matchup for the young receiver. They’ve struggled defensively, allowing a league-high 275.7 passing yards per game and 8.3 adjusted yards per attempt in 2021. 

The Ravens have also struggled, allowing the ninth-most air yards (1,586) and second-most yards after the catch (1,630) in the NFL this season. Ultimately, they’ve given up the 3,216 airYAC, which is the third-most in the league in 2021. 

Johnson’s been a massive part of the Pittsburgh passing attack. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, he boasts a team-high 33.5% share of Pittsburgh’s air yards. He’s seen 992 air yards with a 9.1 aDOT through 10 games. 

Johnson’s also found plenty of success after the catch in 2021. He’s posted 374 yards after the catch, averaging 5.5 yards after the catch per reception this season. That ranks second on the team behind Chase Claypool, although it still ranks in the top-35 of all receivers in the NFL. Furthermore, it’s significantly more impressive than several players above him because of the volume. 

The Steelers should be forced to throw throughout this game, as they’re unlikely to earn a massive early lead against the Ravens. Johnson should continue to see 10+ targets, and he boasts the exact skillset the Baltimore defense struggles with. He’s recorded at least 1 reception of 30+ yards in 6 of his 10 games in 2021, and Johnson could find that success once again this week. His receiving total is a bit too low, especially with JuJu Smith-Schuster on IR and Claypool continuing to deal with a toe injury. 

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