CeeDee Lamb vs Washington Football Team: NFL Prop Predictor (Week 14)
Week 14 brings us an inter-divisional matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and CeeDee Lamb vs the Washington Football Team. Lamb continues to enjoy a solid season for Dallas, as he’s somewhat taken over as the WR1 as Amari Cooper deals with Covid complications.
Dallas will travel to FedEx Field for a matchup against Washington this weekend. The Cowboys will try to widen their lead in the NFC East, as the Football Team won 4 in a row and sit only 2 games back. Washington’s playing for the playoffs, while Dallas is playing to keep a comfortable lead in the NFC East. The Cowboys opened as -4 point favorites with the line increasing to -4.5 throughout the week. The game total’s dipped slightly from 48.5 to 48 throughout the week.
This article looks to find the best available bet for CeeDee Lamb in this game.
Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our Prop Predictor by signing up here.
Lamb’s performed well while dealing with injuries throughout the 2021 season. Through 11 games, he boasts 57 receptions for 829 yards and 6 touchdowns on 90 targets. He’s recorded a 63.3% catch rate with a career-best 14.5 yards per reception.
Lamb’s played 60+ snaps in 7 of his 11 games. He’s averaging 97.9 receiving yards per game in those contests. Lamb’s also posted 71+ receiving yards in 6 of those 7 games. He missed the mark with 66 yards on only 3 targets in Week 3 against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Offensive snaps will be a key in this game, as Dallas ranks second in the NFL in plays (67.8) per game. Washington’s surprisingly allowing only 60.3 opponent plays per game, although that number’s drastically dipped over the last few weeks. The Cowboys should be able to control the pace of this game, forcing the Football Team to play at a faster pace throughout.
Lamb vs the Washington Football Team is an elite matchup for his style of play. They’re allowing 263.9 passing yards per game and 8.2 adjusted yards per attempt this season. Each mark ranks in the bottom five of the NFL in 2021.
Washington’s struggled mightily with air yards throughout the season. They’ve given up a league-high 2,005 air yards thus far. They sit over 40 air yards higher than the Miami Dolphins, who rank second. Washington’s also allowed nearly 400 more air yards than the average team in 2021.
The Cowboys dealt with several injuries to their receivers throughout the season, and Lamb’s been the overall leader. Per NFL Next Gen Stats, he’s seen a team-high 27.7% of Dallas’ air yards in 2021. Overall, Lamb’s recorded 1,044 air yards with an 11.6 aDOT.
Although Washington hasn’t struggled with yards after the catch, Lamb’s averaging 6.1 yards after the catch per reception. He’s also averaging 2.3 more yards after the catch per reception than the expectation.
Lamb’s fully healthy, playing 89% of the offensive snaps last week. He’ll continue to see plenty of opportunities as Amari Cooper works his way back from Covid as well. We’ve seen Lamb consistently beat this number, specifically when given full snaps, and he has the skillset to give the Washington defense problems. The spread suggests this game could stay relatively close throughout, and Lamb is an elite betting option this weekend.
Bet 1.15 units on CeeDee Lamb over 70.5 receiving yards (-115) to win 1 unit on DraftKings Sportsbook - Click the link to receive up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus