2022 NFL Futures - Is This Finally the Year Rodgers Gets Old?

It’s that time of year where all our NFL bets are at +/- $0. 

A wonderful time where training camp updates are what we live for while we pray a Schefter or Rap Sheet notification doesn’t come over saying your favorite star player has been carted off the practice field. 

For me, there is no greater opportunity to put some future money on some NFL win totals.  Over the next several articles, I’ll be breaking down my favorite Win Total Future Bets.

The odds expressed in this article come from DraftKings Sportsbook.  Please be aware that lines may vary.  If you are unaware of where to bet please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

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Let’s get started!

Green Bay Packers UNDER 11 wins (-110 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Oh man, the new guy is coming to us with an under to start!?  That’s no fun at all…  Futures don’t discriminate people!  Cashing a win total under is just as thrilling as an over.  There is no under I like more than the Packers coming in under 11 wins in 2022.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is entering year 18.  A career that has been tremendous with one Super Bowl win and four League MVPs including the last two.  Rodgers has been one of the most consistent QBs in the history of the league almost guaranteeing over 4,000 yds, 35+ TDs and single digit INT’s.  With that said, look at his supporting cast for this upcoming season.  Davante Adams is betting slots in Las Vegas.  Allen Lazard is his lead WR.  Christian Watson is a rookie.  Amari Rodgers is unproven.  Sammy Watkins is on his 5th team in 9 years.  Randall Cobb is a zombie.  Robert Tonyan is coming off an ACL tear after underperforming in the first 8 games last season.

They do have one of the strongest backfields, but Aaron Jones is almost 28 and inching towards the RB gravesite.  Backup and short yardage specialist AJ Dillon is calmly (and beastly) waiting in the wings.

On the offensive line, both tackles have huge question marks.  Left tackle David Bahktiari will turn 31 this September and missed all but the last game of the season only to sit for the playoff loss to the 49ers.  Right tackle Elgton Jenkins tore his ACL in Week 11, and is still working his way back to full health. 

This is easily the most volatility the Packers have had offensively in what feels like decades.

The schedule has some serious bite to it this season as well.  Games AT Tampa Bay, Buffalo, Philadelphia, and Miami should all be battles.  The home schedule is less arduous but does have the AFC’s reigning top seed Tennessee Titans (11/17) as well as the defending Super Bowl Champion LA Rams (12/19). 

The NFC North is improving!  

The Vikings are breathing down the Packers neck for the top spot and have an electric offense.  The Lions can’t get any worse and I personally think they’ll be borderline .500 this season.  The Bears have a new coach and will likely struggle, but may be frisky. 

The Packers have won 13 games the past 3 seasons, and head coach Matt LaFleur boasts an extremely impressive career record of 37-9.  I’m not naïve to this.  However, at some point the rest of the division will catch up and Rodgers will start to age. 

I think the carriage finally turns into a pumpkin as they finish 10-7 or worse. 

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: @davecostabile