2022 NFL Futures - My Top 10 WR Season Props

Open your sportsbook apps and settle in as we continue with our amazing futures content here on Bet Karma.  Today we’ll be looking at my favorite Wide Receiver season long props for 2022.  I love every single one of these 10+ bets and have already taken them, but I’ve ranked the props from least to most confident for your viewing pleasure.

 

The odds expressed in this article come from DraftKings Sportsbook.  Please be aware that lines may vary.  If you are unaware of where to bet please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

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10. Michael Thomas (Saints) UNDER 5.5 TDs (-110 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

This is very simple, how in the world can you trust Michael Thomas this year?  I get wanting to take him in fantasy leagues as your WR3 but to count on him scoring 6 TDs on an offense that no one truly knows what to expect is lunacy.  After missing half of 2020 and all of 2021, Thomas absolutely could bounce back in 2022.  In fact, I’m sure I’ll take a flier bet on him for Comeback Player of the Year. 

However, keep in mind, his career high in TDs with the great Drew Brees was 9 and in the 7 games he played in 2020 he scored…zippo.  Jameis is a picture of unpredictability and is likely to air out most of his scores than zip one in the red zone.  Even at Thomas’ best, he was always more of a yardage and receptions monster that struggled to score. 

9. Cooper Kupp (Rams) OVER 1300.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

This seems obvious after Kupp ran roughshod over the league in 2021 with 1,947 yds en route to Offensive Player of the Year honors.  I don’t think there is any way that number is duplicated this season, but you only need 1,301 to cash the ticket.  You’re telling me you win money if he drops off over 600 yds?  I’ll take that and not look back.  The only reason it’s not higher on this list is because any injury and you’re likely dead.  At least with some of the lower totals your guy can miss one or two games and you remain alive. 

If you want to wait on this prop until we know more about Stafford’s elbow I understand that.

8. Elijah Moore (Jets) OVER 800.5 Receiving Yards AND OVER 64.5 Receptions (Both -115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Every year there are guys who you can’t get out of your brain.  Last year, it was Cooper Kupp and I took all those winnings to the bank!  This year it’s Elijah Moore.  Yes, the Zach Wilson injury complicates things but does it really?  Whomever is at QB, Moore should pose a threat to defenses in both the screens, short routes and in space.  The Jets aren’t going to be good yet again and they did draft Garrett Wilson in the first round, but Moore passes the eye test for me. 

I think he should see a mirror of what Jaylen Waddle did last year in Miami and catch a ton of balls.  Last year he had 43 receptions in 11 games played.  That number puts him on pace for 70.82 receptions on a full season.  I say he gets 80+ and you’re counting your money by mid December.  I LOVE the receptions prop slightly more than the yards prop if you have to pick one but I took both.

7. Terry McLaurin (Commanders) OVER 1000.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Here’s another guy I love for 2022.  McLaurin can and should be a top 15 WR this year.  He has shown a great mix of elite route running and speed while totaling over 1,000 yds in each of the last two seasons.  Here were the QBs he was on the receiving end with:

- Taylor Heinicke (15 games)

- Alex Smith and Dwayne Haskins (6 games)

- Kyle Allen (4 games)

- Ryan Fitzpatrick and Garrett Gilbert (1 game)

Not exactly a murderer’s row of elite talent.

Carson Wentz has his flaws, but the guy still threw for 3,500 yds last year in Indy and I expect him to feed his #1 WR early and often this season.  I love McLaurin in fantasy this year and may be betting his over in TDs as well.

6. Courtland Sutton (Broncos) OVER 62.5 Receptions (-115) AND OVER 5.5 TDs (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Here’s another twofer for you!  After tearing his ACL in 2020, Sutton returned last season and played in every game.  His numbers... well they weren’t exactly eye popping. 

58 rec, 776 yds, 2 TDs

Those stats certainly aren’t going to make you rush to hit submit in your sportsbooks.  But hear me out.  Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater ain’t it.  In fact, in terms of production the Broncos were a chore to watch.  Enter future Hall of Famer Russell Wilson and all a sudden the juices start flowing.  The addition of Wilson as well as it being Sutton’s 2nd year off the injury makes me a big believer in the former SMU wideout. 

I also love the Broncos this year and have them firmly in the playoffs.  Sutton is going to be a big reason why they win games. 

5. DJ Moore (Panthers) OVER 4.5 TDs (-140 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Is there any receiver more overlooked than DJ Moore.  He is always a guy I don’t have in my lineup but is killing me on Sundays.  Not this year.  I’m all in on DJ Moore in 2022.

I almost spit out my drink when I saw 4.5 TDs on Draftkings but I get why.  He has only scored 4 TDs in each of the last 3 seasons.  I feel he has fallen victim to questionable quarterback play and lack of red zone opportunities.  With Baker Mayfield at the helm, I think he’ll lean heavily on the WR who had 163 targets last season and pepper him in all situations.  I also think the Panthers could be sneaky in a weak division.  Moore is going to have to be the leader not just in receptions but also dancing in the end zone for them to make noise.

4. Michael Pittman Jr (Colts) OVER 6.5 TDs (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

Pittman is entering his 3rd season and has become the Colts true #1 Wide Receiver.  He saw his numbers double from year 1 to year 2 and the sky is truly the limit.  The Colts have the best running back/offensive line combo in the league but that shouldn’t deter you from the Pittman props.  Matt Ryan is now taking the snaps and he has always had an elite play-action game.  I see Pittman thriving in those spots and making another huge jump in 2022 establishing himself as a top 15 wide receiver in the league.

3. Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions) OVER 850.5 Receiving Yards (-115) AND OVER 78.5 Receptions (-120 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

For all of you Hard Knocks viewers, this is not because he and his Dad were so awesome in episode 2… Ok it has a LITTLE to do with that.  Any guy who can sit there and list each WR that was picked ahead of him and what school they went to without blinking is a guy I want to get behind. 

St. Brown had an incredible rookie season from the clouds last year totaling 90 rec/912 yds/5 TDs.  He is a relentless worker, crisp route runner and has assumed the role of top wide receiver on a very interesting Lions team in 2022.  I LOVE these props but if I had to pick one over the other it would be the receptions.  I think the Lions show a balance attack this year and could see Jared Goff targeting St. Brown over 140 times (up from 119 last year). 

2. Dallas Goedert (Eagles) OVER 4.5 TDS (-130 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

The Eagles are going to be very good this year and Goedert finally has the keys to the middle of the field by his lonesome.  Playing next to Zach Ertz for his first 3.5 seasons only made him a better overall player but in 2022 I believe Goedert is going to catapult himself into the upper echelon of receiving tight ends. 

QB Jalen Hurts only had 16 passing TDs in 2021 mainly because the Eagles were an elite rushing offense.  I believe this year will be more balanced and with AJ Brown and Devonta Smith taking safety help over top, Goedert will EAT underneath and in the seam.  Goedert has an opportunity to be a red zone crutch for Hurts this year and I could see him doubling this TD amount. 

1. Ceedee Lamb (Cowboys) OVER 1,175 Receiving Yards (-120) AND OVER 7.5 TDs (-115 on Draftkings Sportsbook)

There is no franchise in sports I hate more than the Dallas Cowboys.  But I wasn’t hired to tell you I root for; I was hired to provide winners.  Ceedee Lamb is going to wreak havoc over the NFL this season. 

Gone are Amari Cooper and Cedric Wilson and their 113 rec/1,467 yds/14 TDs.  In comes rookie Jalen Tolbert and Michael Gallup who is coming off an ACL tear in Week 17 last year.  Veteran James Washington was signed in the offseason but was already lost for the season.  QB Dak Prescott is always near the top of the league in yardage and the Cowboys aren’t going to change who they are.  The beneficiary will be Lamb.  I’d be shocked if he doesn’t cruise past both of these props.

 

Good luck everyone and tune in next time when we go over my favorite Running Back props for 2022!

 

Written by David Costabile

Twitter: @davecostabile