NFL 9/11/22: Underdog Prop Bets--Late Slate

The NFL season is so close that we can taste it! It is time to lock in our favorite prop bets for Week #1. We focus on the late slate at 4 PM, where many intriguing match-ups catch our attention. 

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KYLER MURRAY- 268.5 Passing Yards vs. Kansas City: OVER

The Cardinals will not have the luxury of committing to the run. Kyler Murray will have plenty of garbage time to accumulate passing numbers and should sail past this mark.

MARQUISE BROWN- 69.5 Receiving Yards vs. Kansas City: OVER

With no DeAndre Hopkins in this one, Marquise Brown should be targeted relentlessly in a comeback effort. 

DEREK CARR- 263.5 Passing Yards at Los Angeles Chargers: OVER

I expect a much improved defensive front seven from the Los Angeles Chargers. The Raiders will have to air it out if they have any hopes of a victory. Derek Carr may throw the ball 50 times.

DARREN WALLER- 56.5 Receiving Yards at Los Angeles Chargers: OVER

The Chargers will likely game plan to stop Davante Adams. This strategy should leave Darren Waller open across the middle of the field. 

JUSTIN HERBERT- 282.5 Passing Yards vs. Las Vegas Raiders: OVER

The Chargers' offense will be a juggernaut this season. Justin Herbert will throw as much as anyone in the league in 2022. 282.5 is lofty, but I see Herbert exceeding lofty expectations in the opener.

MIKE WILLIAMS- 60.5 Receiving Yards vs. Las Vegas Raiders: OVER

Mike Williams should take a step forward and take over as the top receiving threat in the Chargers offense this season. I don't see anyone in the Raiders secondary who can match his physicality. Take the Over.

AARON RODGERS- 260.5 Passing Yards at Minnesota Vikings: OVER

Many are down on the Packers' passing game heading into the season. The Vikings' secondary has plenty of issues, so I expect Rodgers to clear this number, even with a new cast of receivers.

AJ DILLON- 47.5 Rushing Yards at Minnesota Vikings: OVER

The Vikings are more vulnerable up front to a power-rushing attack. If I select one Packers back to hit their over--it is AJ Dillon.

DALVIN COOK- 20.5 Receiving Yards vs. Green Bay Packers: OVER

We have heard the drumbeat all off-season that the Vikings want to get their backs involved more out of the backfield as receivers. I will buy into the preseason narrative and take the Over.

RYAN TANNEHILL- 230.5 Passing Yards vs. New York Giants: OVER

I don't like the Titans' offense heading into 2022. Vegas does not either, which is why this number is depressed. The Titans will have to throw more than usual in this one. Take the Over.

DANIEL JONES- 226.5 Passing Yards at Tennessee Titans: OVER

I am buying in on the rejuvenated Giants offense under Brian Daboll. Take the Over.

SAQUON BARKLEY- 30.5 Receiving Yards at Tennessee Titans: OVER

Saquon Barkley has been utilized in space relentlessly this off-season. I expect the trend to continue as he eclipses this number. Take the Over.

DERRICK HENRY- 103.5 Rushing Yards vs. New York Giants: UNDER

The Titans' offensive line is not the strength that it once was. The Giants' front seven is no longer a push-over. The Giants contain Derrick Henry in this one. Take the Under.