Week 1 SNF Player Props
Adam Glick
09-11-2022
Adam Glick
09-11-2022
The odds expressed in this article come from DraftKings Sportsbook. Please be aware that lines may vary. If you are unaware of where to bet please utilize our easy-to-use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.
The NFL Week 1 slate has already been incredible. Underdogs are winning outright, kickers are shanking field goals, and Scott Hansen blessing our TVs. Now let’s examine some of my favorite prop plays for the Sunday Night game.
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Dak Prescott OV 266.5 Passing Yards (-115):
The Cowboys enter this game as 2.5-point underdogs. Dak Prescott is a consensus top-five quarterback in the NFL and will need to be on top of his game against the Buccanneers. Also taking a look at Zeke’s run total is extremely low at 46.5 yards which should tell you Vegas expects Dallas to throw the ball consistently. I think Prescott utilizes his top receiving target CeeDee Lamb a lot tonight which will lead me into my next pick. If Dallas wants to win this game tonight Prescott will hit his passing total.
CeeDee Lamb OV 5.5 Receptions (-115):
Lamb is by far the best receiving threat that the Cowboys have. And if you are on Prescott’s over how can you also not hit Lamb’s over receptions? I expect Lamb to have at least 12-15 targets in tonight's contest. I don’t trust the Buccaneers' corners to slow down Lamb’s elite speed and excellent route running. This game should be high scoring with both teams having elite offenses. In last year's matchup, Lamb racked up 7 receptions for 104 yards on 15 targets. When trying to bet Week 1 props I trust history and one thing I know about history is that it always repeats itself.
Tom Brady Ov 2.5 Passing TD’s (+150):
I love Brady’s over in passing touchdowns. The Buccaneers have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. With the spotlight being once again on Brady tonight, I trust him to come through under the bright lights. Tampa also doesn’t have great running backs inside the red zone. With Evans, Godwin, and Gage Brady has more than enough talent to throw through inside the red zone. When cashing player props I always trust Brady to come through especially in a primetime matchup.
Dalton Shultz OV 50.5 Receiving yards (-115):
Shultz is the second Cowboys receiver I trust to have a big night. He is a guy you can count on to pick up that crucial catch when trying to move the chains. I expect Prescott to look for Shultz a lot tonight and am confident he pulls through for 50 yards plus. The biggest thing is making sure Prescott throws the ball consistently tonight. Other than Lamb the Cowboys lack that big receiving weapon that plays into Shultz’s hand. As you can tell throughout I am all in on this team and therefore the props that go with it.
Russel Gage Anytime Touchdown (+190):
I love taking players who are playing their first game in a new uniform. Russel Gage is our guy to fill that philosophy tonight. Other than Mike Evans I think Gage is Brady’s number two option in the passing game. At almost two to one odds, the value is way too juicy to pass up. I am all in on this over 50.5 and think this game will be an instant classic, like last year.
Week 1 has lived up to the hype now it’s time to also cash in on the entertainment. Let’s sweat these player props together.
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