CFB Week 6 - Top 5 Game Bets

Welcome back to “David’s Top 5” Game Bets series!

Each week I'll be bringing you my absolute favorite bets (in order) for the upcoming weekend. 

We’ll be sticking solely to game lines and Over/Unders.

 

The odds expressed in this article come from DraftKings Sportsbook.  Please be aware that lines may vary.  If you are unaware of where to bet please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

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Previously on "David's Top 5"

Week 5 Record: 1-4 / Overall: 10-9-1 (50%)

Well, last week was a minefield.

Vegas unleashed a myriad of bullets at us and unfortunately, I stumbled into four of them.  Our once massive lead on the bookmakers careened down to 50% which I would be fine with if we weren’t just 10 percentage points higher.

First was my gross pick of the Iowa Hawkeyes (+11) which I won’t speak one more word of.  Wait, I will… they stink.  Next was Ole Miss (-7) who honestly should have lost to Kentucky six different ways but got in the win column without covering our number.

Our third loss hit much different.  Minnesota (-12.5) had been cruising through their early season, running straight over opposing defenses and leaving waste to any offense who dared to challenge them.  But, as soon as star back and the nation’s 2nd leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim didn’t run in between the hashes, we were dead and buried.  The Gophers not letting perspective gamblers know about Ibrahim’s outlook was a crime that we paid for.  Ugh.

In the night slate, Texas did their part scoring almost 40 but WVU couldn’t contribute enough blowing our OVER 63 bet. 

What I am glad about however is that here on David’s Top 5 we rank our picks.  Therefore, hitting my #1 play proves most important.  Clemson (-6.5) outlasted NC State making sure we did just that and now look destined for yet another slot in the College Football Playoff.

 

Onwards and upwards we’ll go with a pivotal Week 6 on the horizon.

 

Week 6

 

5. Purdue AT Maryland (-3 -110) -12 PM - BTN

This is possibly a case of chasing the dragon with how Purdue put me in a blender last week at Minnesota, but hear me out.

This is a CLASSIC let up game for the Boilermakers.

Maryland has been playing great, easily disposing Michigan St last weekend and hanging very tough at The Big House the week before.  I think they’re for real.

Maryland will be a great environment Saturday and I see them taking care of business against a Purdue team who just won outright as a 10+ point dog.

 

4. Texas Tech AT #7 Oklahoma St (-9 -110) - 3:30 PM - FS1

It’s time to give the Oklahoma St. Cowboys their flowers. 

They have been on a tear this year and have proved themselves as a legitimate top 10 team with future playoff consideration. 

The Cowboys got off to an early lead against Baylor last week in their building winning 36-25.  I was thoroughly impressed with both sides of the ball and the mettle they showed when they let Baylor creep back in.

Texas Tech has had some fun games this season but they don’t have the horses to hang with a superior all around team like Okla St.

 

3. #8 Tennessee (-3 +100) AT #25 LSU – 12 PM – ESPN

This is THE first showcase for the Volunteers. 

Worthy of being unbeaten and ranked 8th overall, Tennessee has that exciting look to them.  It’s been years (“Feels like ’98!”) since the Vols had a team who could play with the big boys but they appear to have all the tools.

Led by an electric offense and QB Hendon Hooker who doesn’t turn the ball over, Tennessee is brimming with confidence.  On the other side, LSU needs to force takeaways to win football games and they lack the overall veteran athletes they’ve boasted in the past. 

Louisiana has been a doldrum for the Vols in years past losing 5 in a row in Baton Rouge.  This is a very important demon they’ll need to exercise if they’re going to do something special in 2022.

If this game was under the lights, I likely wouldn’t touch it.  However, at 11 AM local time, I see the better team on a roll keeping the momentum going and improving to 5-0.

 

2. Washington St (+13 -115) AT #6 USC - 7:30 PM - FOX

There is not a team I’ve read better than the Trojans of USC.  They are one of the most exciting teams to watch this year and I absolutely believe they’ll be in the PAC 12 title game.

However, I’m going with the Cougars this week getting 13 points.

Washington St has been incredibly frisky this year as they have jumped out to an impressive 4-1 record.  They have wins at Wisconsin as a massive underdog, a tight loss to Oregon and put a beating on Cal last week.  Not the most impressive resume but if you watch them, you know they are absolutely capable of giving SC their toughest game.

USC has scored a ton of points this year, except against Oregon St.  Oregon St has a solid defense but they don’t have the athletes Washington St has.  I believe State will be able to score more than Oregon St did and keep it within the number.

 

1. Florida St AT #14 NC State (-3 -115) – 8 PM – ACC Network

Man, that NC State team is tough.

They battled Clemson in their building tooth and nail for 75% of that game last week.  Clemson covered for us but I came away knowing NC State is not going to go away in any matchup.

Florida St on the other hand looked sloppy and not ready for the moment losing outright to Wake Forest at home.  This game has a lot to do with how I see these teams settling into themselves for the rest of the season.

The Wolfpack return home this week and take care of business by a touchdown.

 

Good luck!

 

Written by David Costabile

Follow me on Twitter!: @davecostabile