What's up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wednesday night! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma Props Comparison and Odds Comparison pages. If you aren’t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our Where to Bet page. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks Predictor by signing up here.

This week has been filled with medium-sized slates, which I actually much prefer to the usual 10+ game slates on Monday and Wednesday and then the 2-4 game slates on Tuesday and Thursday. It's been a fantastic start to the new year for BetKarma Premium members, and I'll list my updated premium prop record below. 

2023 Prop Record (UPDATED): 13-7 +12.3u 

Note: All premium bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook. Click here for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

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John Collins vs the Milwaukee Bucks

John Collins OVER 13.5 Points -122

As I noted above, it's been a great and profitable start to the new year so let's keep things rolling with the Baptist. This is one of the top differentials in our BetKarma projections for tonight - and I wouldn't be shocked to see this line move up at some point today. Despite being listed at 13.5 points, we have him projected for over 17 points tonight against the Bucks. This game features just a 2.5 point spread in favor of Milwaukee, and I do expect it to be a close game. 

Collins is averaging just 13 points per game this season, but a lot changes with Clint Capela off the floor. Capela continues to be out tonight, which is a huge boost for Collins and the rest of the Hawks frontcourt. With him off the floor this season, Collins' PPG jumps from 13 to over 18 -- while his FGA moves from 10 to over 13 as well. There are more shots to go around, and he is able to take on a larger role in the offense. The minutes have been strong as well - he averages 31 per game but that number has been over 37 over the last four games with only one of them being an OT game. 

It's a fine match-up, and I think this number is simply too low. Note that premium members got this a bit earlier when the odds were -120 - and I'm already seeing -125 on DKSB. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)