What's up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wildcard Weekend! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma Props Comparison and Odds Comparison pages. If you aren’t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our Where to Bet page. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks Predictor by signing up here.

Wildcard weekend is finally here and I couldn't be more excited. I will have multiple bets posted in the Discord for BetKarma premium members prior to the weekend. These free articles have been fairing well, also, so this will be my favorite overall prop pick of the weekend. 

2023 Prop Record (UPDATED): 14-8 +12.1u

Note: All premium bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook. Click here for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

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Daniel Jones vs Minnesota Vikings

Daniel Jones OVER 38.5 Rushing Yards

Firstly, I expect this line to move as it's listed at 40.5 over on DraftKings Sportsbook -- so get this in ASAP if you're looking to tail!

This game is going to be one of the most competitive of the weekend in my opinion, and I think the Giants are pretty live to win this game as road dogs against what has been the luckiest team in football. Given that it's a must win game, I expect Brian Daboll to pull out everything from his bag of tricks in order to win. I think that in a must-win game, he will lean on Jones running the ball more than usual and we saw that last weekend when he carried the ball 11 times against the Colts. We also saw that in years past when he was calling plays for the Buffalo Bills -- Josh Allen carried the ball 11 times against the Chiefs in the playoffs last season. 

This seems like a high number for Jones, but we actually have him projected for 43 rushing yards this week, so there is value in getting this number at 38.5. Recently, Minnesota switched to a more man defense as well, which we know can boost rushing production for QB's. Typically, rushing QB's have much more success against man-coverage. Overall, I think that the Giants can win this game and I expect Jones and Barkley to be leaned on heavily. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)