MLB Betting 4/14/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you're interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking HERE. With that being said, let's dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-14 +369.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit. 

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

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Jose Ramirez +400 (0.25u)

Ramirez has yet to hit his first homerun of the 2023 season, but that won't last forever and I think getting ahead of it before his power surge is a smart move. Ramirez has multiple loud, warning track fly-outs and it's just a matter of time before the close ones start leaving the yard. His exit velocity still looks good, he's hitting the ball in the air and he has always hit better from the left-handed side of the plate which he will do tonight against Trevor Williams. Williams struggles mightily with lefty bats -- allowing a .190 ISO in the split compared to a .144 mark vs right-handed hitters. He throws a lot of fastballs, and that's J-Ram's best pitch to hit...he owns a monster .434 ISO against opposing fastballs. Overall, we have hot weather with winds blowing out in DC tonight and I'm expecting offense...there's no better spot for Ramirez to nab his first longball of the season. 

Adley Rutschman +450 (0.2u)

I love this spot for the O's bats tonight, and I like the odds here on arguably the best young hitter in baseball. Mike Clevinger was once a Cy Young candidate-level pitcher but his career has been derailed by both injuries and off the field issues. He's pitched to a respectable 3.48 ERA through two starts this season, but it appears he's walking a very fine line. His xERA is north of 8.00 -- one of the highest numbers in baseball -- and his strikeouts have fallen below 20%. He walks a lot of guys as well, which can lead to big innings if he's issuing free passes. Rutschman has the highest ISO on the Orioles since the start of last season vs RHP at .231 and Sunshine has been much worse vs left-handed hitters than righties. The best part is, he throws his fastball over 40% of the time to lefties while Rutschman absolutely crushes fastballs. There's value on multiple O's guys tonight, but Adley is my choice if choosing just one. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)