Today's Taste - Best MLB PrizePicks Player Props (4/24/23)

On the list today we have some fire player props featuring a couple of lefty hurlers. Player markets have been interesting to me. There are definitely opportunities to cash in big money on them, especially when you get a butter matchup. Drawing straight from the PrizePicks well on a Monday night, we have exactly that.

 

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Jordan Montgomery OVER/UNDER 5.5 K’s 

 

What can we say about Monty other than he has been reborn since being traded to the St. Louis Cardinals last summer? Outside of a few horrendous outings, he’s been not only strong, but a huge boost to this rotation that’s in desperate need of arms. He has compiled seven quality starts of his 15 outings as a Cardinal. 

 

He typically is not considered a big strikeout guy, but does have his moments in the right matchup. Going against the San Francisco Giants, there is a better than not chance Montgomery can skate toward the over in this one. SF has punched out an MLB-leading 226 times this year in addition to having the highest K rate at 27.7%. Against lefties, the Bay Area Bombers have struggled mightily with a .215 average and .608 OPS, as well as 88 K’s in 261 at-bats. 

 

The competition dictates this play being over the 5.5 K mark. And coming off a bad start against Arizona, I think J Mont is ready to dot this lineup.

 

Pick: O5.5 K’s

 

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Nick Lodolo OVER/UNDER 7.5 K’s 

 

Hunter Greene AND Nick Lodolo?! This is every fan’s dream to have two young gun superstars anchoring the rotation for years to come. Most of you should know the affinity I have for Greene, but Lodolo was also a guy I pondered taking a shot on to lead the league in strikeouts - and even win the Cy Young. The flashes this kid has shown makes it evident he will be one of the better strikeout pitchers of this decade.

 

Coming off an impressive rookie season where he piled up 131 punchies in only 103.1 IP, Lodolo has picked up right where he left off with his 31 K’s in 21.2 innings this season. Outside of a blow up against the Reds in his latest start, the lefty looks sensational this season with the cheddar bomb high 90’s heater and diving slider. On the board for his bounce back opportunity are the resurgent Texas Rangers. Fair warning, Texas is not only in first place in the AL West with a 14-7 record, but they have been great at not punching out.

 

The Rangers have struck out the sixth-fewest times in the bigs thus far (174), and hold a K rate of 21.4% (10th best). That being said, a lot of those numbers have been the result of cupcake pitching matchups against Kansas City (twice), Oakland, and Baltimore. Framber Valdez and Zack Wheeler both managed to tally seven K’s a piece, but at this point, there could be a chance Lodolo has the most electric arsenal they have faced this season. 

 

The number may be a tad high, but I’m taking a chance on this young blood to show out in a big way. Lodolo is either going to get crushed, or dazzle this fine Texas offense.

 

Pick: Over 7.5 K’s

 

PrizePicks Player Prop Parlay +300

 

Nick Lodolo Over 7.5 K’s

Jordan Montgomery Over 5.5 K’s