Today's Taste - Best MLB PrizePicks Player Props (5/11/23)

Not quite the start I had last week. The last two days have been underwhelming to say the least. It’s been the strikeout props that have done me in. Whereas the total base props have been pretty solid overall. With that being said, it might be time to switch it up.

 

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Bobby Witt OVER/UNDER 1.5 Total Bases

 

Robert Andrew Witt Jr. is a star in the making. Despite popular opinion, we have not seen many successful MLB careers from prospects who skipped college, or international play over the past 15 years or so. Witt committed to the prestigious program at Oklahoma before being selected second overall by the Royals in 2019. Having your father play in the MLB certainly makes you develop much faster, I would imagine.

 

Witt hasn’t gotten off to a great start to the new campaign, only hitting .232, but the signs are there for him. He has a 44.6% hard hit rate this season, to the MLB average of 38.7%. We need to remember he’s still only 22 years old. The kid just had a seven-game hit streak snapped last night against the White Sox after a dreadful 0-5 showing. With that being said, Witt has only gone hitless in consecutive performances once since April 18th. He draws a butter matchup today against Mike Clevinger, the guy who just returned from a long hiatus at Woodstock. Although he’s never faced Clevinger, there are positive signs to a strong rebound day for the young stud. The Sox hurler currently boasts a horrid 4.84 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He’s allowed 38 knocks in only 35.1 IP, to go along with six long balls. 

 

Bobby Dub has already ripped five extra baggers in the month of May, so in the slight instance he does not see two hits, there is a good chance he logs one extra base hit. We have a limited card in the MLB today, which means Witt is one of the best offensive options as far as total bases are concerned. Let’s take a chance on our guy going over!

 

 

Pick: Witt OVER 1.5 Total Bases

 

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Aaron Judge  OVER/UNDER 1.5 Total Bases

 

Day three back in action for the Judge. The reigning AL MVP’s return is a sight for sore eyes for this pathetic bunch that calls themselves a ball club. Still clinging to the widely overused and outdated motto of “27 rings,” despite not winning one since 2009, NYY is desperate for some life.

 

Judge roared back to life last night with a 3-4 showing against the Oakland A’s. Clearly he faces a much bigger test against Tampa, but it’s a good start. The Rays will be throwing Drew Rasmussen, a key cog to their starting rotation. Rasmussen has logged a solid 3.11 ERA and 1.19 WHIP so far. However, a lot of his good outings were against the Nats, A’s, and Reds. This same guy got lit up by Toronto, Houston, and touched by the White Sox. In Rassy’s last outing against the Yankees a week ago, he went 5.2 scoreless frames, giving up only two hits.

 

Ideally, when a pitcher faces the same team in consecutive outings, the thought is the offense has a significant advantage in the second game. There aren’t a ton of numbers I can provide on this one, but we’re giving the benefit of the doubt to the guy who hit 62 home runs last year. Even if Judge can’t rack up two knocks, I think he could be a good candidate to visit the tater factory for the first time in about a month.

 

 

Pick: Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases

 

 

 

PrizePicks Player Prop Parlay +300

 

Witt OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases