Today's Taste - Best MLB PrizePicks Player Props (5/16/23)

Last week wasn’t very good if we’re being honest. It comes with the territory, especially on parlays. However, when an ebb happens, the flow usually follows. With a new week, I’ve had a couple days to regroup, and now we’re getting after it. 

 

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Zack Wheeler OVER/UNDER 7 Strikeouts

 

BABY BACK ZACK toes the rubber tonight against the San Francisco Giants. When you look at Wheeler’s outings this season, they have either been really good, or really bad. I don’t know if we can consider an elite pitcher anymore, if we ever did, but he’s still certainly one of the better arms in the MLB. I would say he can still be a top echelon guy, and he draws one hell of a matchup tonight.

 

The Giants are no longer the team that strikes out the most in baseball, as they have been for a while, but they are top five. The team with the fourth-most punchouts this season have five different players with at least 30 K’s thus far. Wheeler has been a bit hit or miss in the K department to this point. He’s logged at least seven punchies in four of his eight starts. The one area of concern for me is how poorly he’s fared on the road. The Phillies’ ace has pitched to a 4.70 ERA and .281 OBA on the road, both dramatic increases to his strong home numbers. Two of those road starts, he allowed eight earned in only 9.1 innings of work, and the third was a six-shutout inning gem in Houston.

 

Wheeler tends to struggle in his first outing of the year, so that one I can chalk up to a new season, against a potent Texas lineup. And the second against Chicago was just plain bad. It seems like he has started to find his groove, registering three quality starts out of his last four tries. Guys like Corbin Burnes and Zac Gallen stayed under this number, but Dylan Cease and Gerrit Cole surpassed it. Zack Wheeler is definitely a guy who can control this lineup, and even though it’s a bit risky, I’m going with him to get it tonight.

 

 

Pick: Wheeler 7+ Strikeouts

 

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Kevin Gausman OVER/UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts

 

Kevin Gausman is one of my fantasy studs on my wagon of a team this year. Outside of two disaster outings, he’s been lights out. In six of eight starts, he’s gone at least six innings, and allowed no more than three runs, in addition to notching at least seven K’s. 

 

KG will see the Yankees tonight, a team he fared extremely well against in 2022. In all three starts vs. NYY last year, he logged at least seven strikeouts in all of them. It’s true with Aaron Judge back the Yanks have started to flip the switch a little bit, winning six of their last eight games. After Alek Manoah got bombed by New York last night, Toronto needs a strong performance from Gausman to even up this crucial early season series. The key to his success tonight, as it usually is, will be the devastating split piece he throws. His splitter accounts for a 48.5 Whiff %, 50.6 K%, and batters are only hitting .192 against it so far.

 

I think KG tosses another strong start tonight enroute to a high strikeout total. So long as the ball stays in the yard, and pitch count is relatively in favor, Gausman should be able to eclipse seven strikeouts to bring us home.

 

 

Pick: Gausman OVER 6.5 K’s

 

 

 

PrizePicks Player Prop Parlay +300

 

Wheeler 7+ Strikeouts

Gausman OVER 6.5 K’s