Today's Taste - Best MLB PrizePicks Player Props (5/17/23)

That’s much better. My two power pitchers delivered last night. Wednesday has some really good arms going, so I’ll be looking to attack that. Let’s dive in.

 

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MacKenzie Gore OVER/UNDER 16.5 outs

 

Don’t look now, but MacKenzie Gore is putting together a solid season so far. He’s had a couple outings that bloated his ERA to 3.29. Sure, the 21 walks in 41 innings isn’t fantastic, but he is consistently giving his team a chance to win almost every time he takes the mound. This Nationals starting rotation is on the rise. It’s my belief if they draft LSU’s pitching prodigy Paul Skenes at number two this summer, they will have the BEST starting rotation in baseball within three years, should this core stay intact. And Gore will be a big reason why. Remember who told you first.

 

Gore draws a tough test against the fighting fish on Wednesday. Taking a look at his resume in 2023, he’s eclipsed 17 outs (5.2 innings) four times this season. Some of the concern relies on high pitch counts he tallies early on his outings. In three of his starts where he went less than five innings, he drew a pitch count of at least 88, which is less than ideal. On paper, Miami has done extremely well against lefties this season, batting a robust .292 with a .765 OPS. If you take a deeper dive though, there have been a couple of guys who have had success against this lineup.

 

Justin Steele compiled at least six innings in two of his tries against the Marlins. While Bryce Elder managed six innings in one of his two starts. Outside of those two arms, this offense hasn’t faced a decent lefty starter. Gore is somebody that is certainly capable of hanging with Miami long enough to get this number. He’s also fared well in road starts this year, eclipsing six innings in three of his four tests in 2023.

 

 

Pick: Gore OVER 16.5 outs

 

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Eduardo Rodriguez OVER/UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts

 

One of the more pleasant surprises, almost shocks, of the new season is the emergence of Eduardo Rodriguez. E-Rod has been sublime so far with a 1.57 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He’s looked like an All-Star early on, but draws a tough home test to the feisty Pittsburgh Pirates. How will he fare?

 

Rodriguez has been great anyway you look at it this season, but he’s been exceptional at home. Pitching to a 0.42 ERA and .141 OBA, there are few pitchers who have exceeded the numbers at home of the Tigers’ starter. More importantly, in those home starts E-Rod tallied at least nine K’s in two of three starts. Currently riding an insane stretch where has only allowed one earned run in his last five outings, he is set up well on Wednesday. 

 

While the Pirates are middle of the road with the 18th most K’s in the league, they have eight players with at least 25 strikeouts. Of those eight, six have at least 30 K’s. With a lot of swing and miss in this lineup, there should be plenty of room for Rodrgiuez to navigate six punchies at home today. Although the Pirates have performed well against lefty pitching this year (.265 average, .780 OPS), they have allowed the better southpaws in the league to take advantage. Shane McClanahan and Nick Lodolo both notched nine K’s. Framber Valdez and Julio Urias managed a decent five. Even though many wouldn’t consider Rodrgiuez in that tier, he has sure pitched like it.

 

He’s been a tough matchup all season for opposing teams. I think there is a good chance that our guy can notch six strikeouts this afternoon enroute to another victory on the card.

 

 

Pick: Rodriguez OVER 5.5 K’s

 

 

 

PrizePicks Player Prop Parlay +300

 

Gore OVER 16.5 outs

Rodriguez OVER 5.5 K’s