MLB Betting 5/22/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you're interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking HERE. With that being said, let's dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-41 +$283.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit. 

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

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Rowdy Tellez +360 (0.2u)

Tellez is always one of my favorite HR targets, and I'll be backing him on Monday night against Cristian Javier. Javier is a good pitcher, but can run into HR issues due to the amount of fly-balls he allows -- while Tellez owns the highest fly-ball rate on the Brewers since the start of last season. He also matches up well with Javier's pitch mix, sporting a .216 ISO against fastballs. Javier relies heavily on his heater, throwing it over 55% of the time to left-handed hitters. Tellez has always been better at home, and he has hit significantly more homeruns there than on the road during his tenure with the Brewers. Overall, I think Milawukee is in a sneaky decent spot tonight and I won't be shocked to see their team hit multiple homeruns in this game. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)