MLB Betting 6/18/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you're interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking HERE. With that being said, let's dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 17-55 +$315.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit. 

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

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Rowdy Tellez +330 (0.2u)

Tellez and the Brewers are in a strong spot on Sunday, matched up against Luis Ortiz and sporting a near five run team total. Ortiz has had a few good starts for the Pirates since getting called up to the big leagues, but so far he has been overwhelmed by left-handed hitters. He's allowing a monster .480 wOBA and .245 ISO to lefties, compared to .307 and .143 marks against righties. Milwaukee will actually only send a few lefties to the plate today, one of which being Tellez. Tellez is a common feature in this article against right-handed pitching, and I love the way he matches up with Ortiz. We know about Rowdy's huge raw power, but he crushes both of Ortiz's featured pitches. Fastball and slider account for over 70% of his arsenal to left-handed hitters, while Tellez has over a .330 ISO against both pitches. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)