MLB Betting 8/2/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you're interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking HERE. With that being said, let's dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 22-67 +$482.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit. 

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

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Dansby Swanson +390 (0.2u)

We almost hit paydirt last night, with Luis Robert smashing a warning track fly. Tonight, we look to start up a new streak and my main target is going to be Dansby Swanson. I love this spot for the Cubbies tonight, matched up with a pitcher due for some regression in Brandon Williamson. Over the last 30 days, Williams has pitched to a 2.18 ERA despite a 5.49 SIERA and only 17% strikeouts. He's much worse against right-handed hitters than left, which is where Swanson comes in. He has some of the best numbers on the team vs LHP this season, including a .233 ISO. He crushes fastballs, a pitch that Williamson throws almost 50% of the time. Overall, I love betting against pitchers that are due for a blowup soon and I think it could come at the hands of the Cubs on Wednesday night. Feel free to bet any Cubs RHH for a HR. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)