MAC 2023 Win Total Picks
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MAC 2023 Win Total Picks

Adam Glick
08-10-2023

Welcome back to College Football Win Totals. So excited to be back for my second year with BetKarma and make everyone some money! The MAC will be the first conference I am looking at for the 2023 college football season. The conference always delivers an entertainment factor and midweek sweats. Let’s take a look at how each team will perform in 2023.

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East Division:

  1. Ohio Bobcats- OV/UN 7.5 Wins:

The Ohio Bobcats are a must-watch in 2023. First, they have the best quarterback in the state of Ohio… yes Buckeye fans you heard that right. Kurtis Rourke is an absolute stud and is making a speedy recovery in hopes of starting Week 0. He suffered an ACL injury last year and his health will determine Ohio’s hopes. The Bobcats also made portal splashes in the portal to improve a dreadful defense. I am bullish on this team and think they will get to eight wins. The non-conference schedule is difficult going to San Diego State, FAU, and welcoming Iowa State. If they can survive at least 2-2 their MAC schedule is a cakewalk. Avoiding top teams in Toledo and Eastern Michigan is crucial. And to add some flavor they get arch-rival Miami-Ohio at home. 

The play: Over 7.5

  1. Miami-Ohio Redhawks OV/UN 6.5 Wins:

The Redhawks have the best defense in the conference. In 2022 they held opponents to 22.6 points per game and return a chunk of talent from that group. The Redhawks have a daunting MAC schedule compared to rival Ohio. That is why I have the Bobcats finishing ahead and beating this Miami-Ohio team with the game in Athens. Miami-Ohio will teeter with this win total all year but with brutal games at Cincy, vs Toledo, at Ohio, vs Buffalo, and at Ball State I favor the under.  

The play: Under 6.5 

  1. Buffalo Bulls OV/UN 6.5 Wins: 

The Buffalo Bulls will look to build off of last year’s seven-win season. With little return on the roster, it will be difficult for Buffalo to get back to the top of the mountain in the MAC East. They are better than the rest of the East Teams and will look to upset Ohio and Miami Ohio. The schedule is difficult at Wisco, vs Liberty, at Lousiana, at Toledo, vs Ohio, at Miami-Ohio, and vs Eastern Michigan. In terms of my play on their win total, I think they will go 7-5 and eclipse the total. Beating Liberty at home will be the make-or-break game.

The play: Over 6.5

  1. Bowling Green Falcons OV/UN 4.5 Wins:

The Bowling Green Falcons have a very respectable offense, which propelled them to a rare bowl game last year. The problem for Bowling Green is their defense has no star power and they face all the big players in the MAC. The Falcons also take three paydays traveling to Michigan, Liberty, and Georgia Tech. With the schedule being extremely hard I can’t see this group that allows a lot of points hitting their over. I love the under-4.5 and could easily see Bowling Green slipping back to their old ways.

The play: Under 4.5

  1. Akron Zips OV/UN 3.5 Wins:

The Zips of Akron have been awful all my life. To their credit, they were more competitive last season losing a lot of close affairs. Heading into 2023 Quarterback DJ. Irons will be the engine that will try to push Akron over this total. With that being said the defense is dreadful and their schedule is hard. I can’t see Akron winning more than 3 games with only beating Kent State for their lone MAC win.

The play: Under 3.5

  1. Kent State Flashes OV/UN 2.5 Wins:

Say hello to the worst team in the MAC. Kent State had as bad an offseason a team could endure. They return Zero players on offense and lose multiple players to the portal going to better schools. I will be shocked if they can win 1 game in the MAC all season long. Feed me this under as it will be one of the easiest bets of the entire college football season.

The play: Under 2.5

West Divison:

  1. Toledo Rockets OV/UN 8.5 Wins:

I love this Over! Might be my favorite bet of the entire MAC Conference. The Rockets are far and away the most talented roster in the conference. The Rockets return 16 starters with a loaded line of scrimmage, running back room, wide receivers,  and quarterback. The offense will do their part and the defense returns six key pieces from an underrated attack from last year. Toledo is capable of winning every game on the schedule including upsetting Illinois in Week 1. Look for Toledo to win at least 9 or 10 games in 2023. 

The play: Over 8.5

            2) NIU Huskies OV/UN 5.5 Wins:  

            I am high on NIU going into 2023. I think they will finish with a three-way tie for second place but beat both Eastern Michigan and Ball State. Inconsistency has shaped this team over the last couple of years and that will ultimately plague them in dropping some “easy” conference games and finishing behind Toledo. This win total I am in love with and think they will easily make a bowl game and possibly even reach seven wins.

The play: Over 5.5

3) Eastern Michigan Eagles OV/UN 7.5 Wins:

I am very high on Eastern Michigan partly because they upset Arizona State last season in Tempe. They do have a lot of turnovers they have to face but are led by a great coach in Chris Crieghton. The schedule creates some challenges with road tests against Minnesota, Central Michigan, NIU, Toledo, and Buffalo. I do think the Eagles will upset Buffalo in the final week of the season and keep a clean sheet at home. This is why I will be on their cover as well and finish just a game behind Toledo for the East Crown.

The play: Over 7.5

4) Ball State Cardinals OV/UN 5.5 Wins: 

I love the West Division overs in the MAC this season. A three-way tie at second place with a 5-3 record will almost guarantee these teams reach their overs. Ball State has two impossible non-conference road games at Kentucky and Georgia but I think they have the talent to run the table with their home schedule. The Cardinal have one of the best lines in the conference and that will be the difference of getting this over as well as upsetting league champ Toledo in the regular season.

The play: Over 5.5

5) Western Michigan Broncos OV/UN 3.5 Wins:

Western Michigan needs PJ. Fleck back as their head coach. It will be another rough year for the Broncos with new coach Lance Taylor. Returning two starters will not be easy as this program is basically starting over in 2023. Looking at their schedule they only have one win out of conference against St. Francis (PA). I do think by the end of the year the Broncos can pick up some wins. I believe in the future of this program and my pick leans over with a November to remember. 

The play: Over 3.5

6) Central Michigan Chippewas OV/UN 5.5 Wins:

I have gone with five straight overs in the Western Conference. With that in mind, I think you can guess what my prediction is for the Chippewas. I think they will be the most disappointing team in the MAC and won’t sniff a bowl game. The schedule features road dates at Michigan State, Notre Dame, South Alabama, Ball State, Western Michigan, and Ohio. With a younger roster on offense, there is too much uncertainty for me to play this over.

The play: Under 5.5 

Conference Championship exact outcome game future: Toledo vs Ohio (+520)

Conference Champion Winner future: Ohio (+275)

Twitter: @adamglick39

 


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