NFL Week 2 - Danny's Best Bets
Danny Carpenter
09-16-2023
Danny Carpenter
09-16-2023
Well, it was a slow start to my season.
But I think I can rebound in my NFL Week 2 – Danny’s Best Bets.
Last week, I finished with a 2-3 record as the weather in Cleveland slowed down the Browns’ passing attack and Amari Cooper finished with only 37 yards receiving, all in the first half. He probably only needed one more catch to surpass the 54.5 yards mark he needed to win my bet.
Then I was completely on the wrong side of my other two losses – Pittsburgh +2.5 and the under 51 in the Miami-LA Chargers game. Oh well that’s how it goes!
But my two winners were as easy as my losses – the Browns cruised pass Cincinnati while getting 2.5 points and Las Vegas’ Jakobi Meyers surpassed his 3.5 receptions by halftime.
I will say you need to join our Discord and our NFL premium service to get all our plays. I’m currently 3-1 on Thursday Night Game plays after hitting Boston Scott over 16.5 rushing yards this past Thursday.
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Now onto NFL Week 2 – Danny’s Best Bets!
This pick is definitely going against the public, which scares me with so much chalk hitting in DFS and straight betting in the first week and a half of the season.
But the Bengals have dominated the Ravens in their last three matchups in Cincinnati.
Cincinnati has outscored Baltimore, 30.7-18, in those three matchups, and if it wasn’t for Joe Burrow’s disappointing Week 1, the spread would be at least a touchdown.
I believe the -3 is a gift you cannot ignore.
I really want to the take the under in this game, but I think taking the Titans and the points is the safer play.
In the Titans’ last 21 games as underdogs, they are a 14-6-1, including 11 outright wins.
The Chargers may also be without standout RB Austin Ekeler, who is doubtful with an ankle injury.
Plus, this is another game where the public is all over the road favorite Chargers, and I like to be the opposite.
With this game expected to be a high-scoring affair (51.5 is the total at several books), Ridley should be able to eclipse his receiving total.
Last week vs. Indianapolis, he had a 34 percent target share and a 100 percent mark in route participation. He finished with 8 catches on 11 targets for 101 yards and 1 touchdown.
The Chiefs’ defense was also less effective on the road than at home last season. They gave up more yards per attempt (6.9 to 6.5), TD passes (20 to 13) and yards (2,358 to 1,786).
Pollard had a nice showing in his first game without competing for touches in the Cowboys backfield.
He finished with 70 yards rushing and 2 TDs and played sparingly in the fourth quarter of Dallas’ 40-0 win vs. the NY Giants.
Pollard also had 7 touches inside the 20 (77 percent of the team total).
And now the Cowboys defense gets to chase down turnover-proned Zach Wilson at quarterback after the Jets lost Aaron Rodgers to a season-ending Achilles’ injury, which could give Pollard more chances to score with short fields.
McCaffrey has played against the Rams three times in his career, and I’m sure they not happy to see him again.
He has averaged 97.0 yards rushing in those three games, and the 49ers offense was hitting on all cylinders vs. Pittsburgh last week.
If you really want to get frisky, may be add his rushing and receiving total as he has averaged 8 receptions and 75 yards in those three games as well.
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