NFL Week 4 - Danny's Best Bets

Finally a winning week, but it was more of a disappointment!

Minnesota had the ball inside the 10 twice late in the fourth quarter and failed to come away with any points, losing to the LA Chargers, 28-24. I had the over 53.5 (big sigh as I shake my head).

I finished last week with a 3-2 record, but missing the over in that game hurt.

But I believe NFL Week 4 – Danny’s Best Bets are going in the right direction.

Last week: 3-2 (.600)

Overall: 7-8 (.467)

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Now onto NFL Week 4 – Danny’s Best Bets.

Miami at Buffalo

Bills -2.5 on BetMGM

The Dolphins are the hottest team in the NFL, and they come into Highmark Stadium losing 7 straight there.

And granted Miami has been competitive in their last two matchups in Buffalo, but during the losing streak, the Bills have won by an average of 13.4 points a game.

That is enough to sway me to the Bills Mafia side.

Denver at Chicago

Over 46 points on Caesars Sportsbook

The last time these two teams played and scored more than 46 points was in 2007 as the Bears won, 37-34, in overtime.

The quarterbacks for the teams then were Rex Grossman and Jay Cutler.

This matchup should have better quarterback play with Justin Fields and Russell Wilson, but it’s the defenses that make this game so attractive for the over.

The Broncos are giving up a league-worst 40.7 points a game after allowing 70 to Miami last week, while the Bears are giving up the second most points at 35.3 points a game.

LA Rams at Indianapolis

Kyren Williams over 4.5 receptions (+150) on DraftKings

This one may fall short but it’s tough to pass up those odds when Williams has seen 17 targets in the last two games.

Now he’s only produced 8 catches with those targets, but he has the opportunity of crush that number in a back-and-forth contest.

And he continues to dominate the RB snap shares as he played every down last week.

Minnesota at Carolina

Adam Thielen over 48.5 yards receiving on DraftKings

Thielen has seen 23 targets from Andy Dalton and Bryce Young in his past two games, and the shaky Minnesota pass defense comes to Charlotte.

The Vikings are giving up 261 passing yards a game and just gave up 445 passing yards to Justin Herbert last week.

In these teams last three meetings, they have averaged 57.3 points a game so there were should be plenty of opportunity for Thielen to pile up receiving yards again.

Seattle at NY Giants

Seahawks +1.5 on Caesars Sportsbook

This was the only line I found where the Seahawks were the underdogs, and I jumped all over it.

Every other major sportsbooks have Seattle as a 1- or 1.5-point favorite.

I’ll take the points for the team that I believe is the better.

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