NFL Week 10 - Danny's Best Bets

I really enjoy this time of year – especially for my NFL Week 10 – Danny’s Best Bets.

The weather is finally getting cooler, Thanksgiving is right around the corner and I can start listening to Christmas music (That’s right, I LOVE Christmas music, especially my Frank Sinatra (Holiday) channel on Pandora).

But when it comes to my picks, NFL is half way through the season, allowing me to be able to hone in on better plays.

Last week, I went 4-1 with my only loss coming when Minnesota QB Jaren Hall was hurt early with 11 rushing yards. I had over 15.5 yards rushing for him, and hopefully, your book voided the bet but for record keeping here, I’m counting it as a loss.

Last Week: 4-1 (.800)

Overall: 24-21 (.533)

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Now onto NFL Week 10 – Danny’s Best Bets.

Tennessee at Tampa Bay

Derrick Henry over 1.5 receptions on Bet365

I know this is an unusual take for King Henry but he has been active in the passing game again this season.

Henry had a career-high 32 catches last season and he’s on his way to surpass that mark this season.

In his last four games, Henry has averaged 3 receptions a game and has been targeted 13 times.

Green Bay at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh -3 on DraftKings

The Steelers continue to win ugly, thanks mainly to their bend-but-don’t-break defense.

But now the Packers come to town after an unimpressive win vs. the Matthew Stafford-less LA Rams.

One the thing the Steelers can do well is produce turnovers. They are currently plus-8 on the season, tied for third in the league.

That’s one thing Jordan Love can do – throw interceptions. He’s tied for fifth in the league with 8.

Plus the last time the Packers won in Pittsburgh was in 1970.

Houston at Cincinnati

Dalton Schultz over 48.5 yards receiving on FanDuel

The Bengals come into this game giving up 19 catches for 230 yards receiving to tight ends in their last two games.

For the season, Cincinnati allows 63.1 yards receiving a game from the TE spot.

Schultz has averaged 60.6 yards receiving in his last five games, and the Texans may be without their top WR Nico Collins.

Washington at Seattle  

Over 44.5 points on DraftKings

I’ve kept trying to do the math on this game and the answer has kept me puzzled.

These two have eclipsed 44 points once in their last 10 matchups – so why is the middle 44.5 points for this game?

It all comes down to the Commanders.

Their defense is ranked 28th in passing yards allowed a game at 252.7, and their offense passes the ball 69.8 percent of the time.

There is are going to be plenty of balls in the air in this game which should translate into points.

Detroit at LA Chargers

Amon-Ra St. Brown over 6.5 receptions on BetMGM

The Sun God has been on a tear recently in road game for the Lions.

He has 25 receptions in Detroit’s last two road games and averages 9 catches on the road this year.

Now he faces a Chargers defense which allows a league-high 285 yards passing a game, including 13 receptions a game to WRs.

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