NFL Week 11 - Danny's Best Bets
Danny Carpenter
11-18-2023
Danny Carpenter
11-18-2023
Let’s keep this thing rolling!
For second week in a row, I rattled off a 4-1 record in my Best Bets.
The only loss was Derrick Henry finishing for only one reception when I had him for over 1.5 receptions. It should have been an easy winner since the Tennessee trailed most of the game.
But I can't complain as I’m on an 11-4 run the last three weeks - so let’s keep this rolling!
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Overall: 28-22 (.560)
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Now onto NFL Week 11 – Danny’s Best Bets.
D.J. Moore may have had the big games earlier in the season, but Cole Kmet is still Justin Fields’ favorite target.
Kmet has averaged 4.6 receptions and 5.8 targets this season when Fields has played a complete game. And Fields is returning this weekend vs. Lions.
The Lions have given up 4 or more receptions to TEs in every game this season.
Ekeler may be the workhorse on Sunday as most of the Chargers receiving corps enter the game with an injury designation.
He is averaging 5.8 targets a game this season and the Packers have given up 6.5 receptions a game to running backs in their last four.
Ekeler’s receiving prowess is too hard to ignore in this matchup.
I believe the Vikings may have something a little special going on.
They won their last two games without Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson, and Jefferson may return from IR on Sunday. Jefferson remained limited all three practice days this week.
Even if he doesn’t return, the offense has continued to churn out victories.
The Broncos defense is still the worst in the NFL despite their recent resurgence. They give up 401.8 a game this season.
This season has been a struggle for Kupp.
He started the year in the IR with a hamstring injury and then he lost starting QB Matthew Stafford during the Dallas game in Week 8.
Now Stafford returns and the Seahawks are the perfect opponent to have a get-right game for Kupp.
The Seahawks gave up 288 passing yards last week to Washington, and they allowed Stafford to throw for more than 300 yards in their first matchup without Kupp.
Kupp had a day in his last home meeting vs. Seattle in 2021, finishing with 9 catches for 136 yards and two TDs.
The matchup we have been waiting for since the regular season schedule was announced – the battle of last year’s Super Bowl teams.
The Chiefs are a bit different team from last season, relying more on their defense to win games, but the Eagles offensive versatility will test that defense.
The Eagles, who average 28 points a game, should be able to score, forcing Patrick Mahomes and KC offense to keep up.
These two have averaged 62 points a game in their last three matchups.
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