NFL Week 14 - Danny's Best Bets

It is that time of year where everyone is in Christmas shopping mode, but it’s also important to shop for the best odds you can find when making your bets for the weekend.

Thanks to finding New England last week at +6 on Caesars Sportsbook, I was able to survive the week with a better record. It helps the overall average (and bankroll) for the season with one less loss.

But the shopping this week has been tight, and I’m still searching for my first perfect week of the season (perfect as in 5-0).

Last Week: 3-1-1 (.700)

Overall: 34-30-1 (.531)

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Now onto NFL Week 14 – Danny’s Best Bets.

Indianapolis at Cincinnati

Joe Mixon over 85.5 combined rushing-receiving yards on BetRivers

A lot of bettors and DFS players will be eyeing QB Jake Browning after his big game last Monday night, but I’m looking at Mixon to have a big day in a game with plenty of playoff implications.

In his career, Mixon has surpassed the 85.5 combined yards 2 out of 3 times vs. the Colts.

This Colts team is a bottom 10 defense vs. the run this season, giving up 133.3 yards a game. And Indianapolis has seen an uptick in rushing yards allowed in its last three games, giving up 156.3.

Buffalo at Kansas City

Over 48.5 points on FanDuel

These two teams and fan bases do not like each other as the Chiefs have eliminated the Bills from the playoffs twice in the last three seasons.

And this game falls on the shoulders of the quarterbacks.

Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen has faced each other five times in the last four seasons, and in those five games, the teams have averaged 57 points a game.

And the weather looks perfect for another shootout!

Philadelphia at Dallas

CeeDee Lamb over 7.5 receptions on DraftKings

Lamb has surpassed this total in 4 of his last 6 games, and in the two games he had less than 8 catches, they were Dallas blowout wins.

He has seen at least 9 targets in his last 6 games, and the Eagles continue to be one of the league’s worst pass defenses.

Philadelphia has given up 270 yards passing a game in their last three games.

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite and the game has a total of 51.5, the highest total of the weekend, which should allow Lamb to see another double-digit target game.

Seattle at San Francisco

Over 46.5 points on DraftKings

Deebo Samuel over 69.5 combined rushing-receiving yards on DraftKings

Both teams’ offenses seem to be back on track after midseason swoons.

The 49ers have averaged 33.5 points a game during their 4-game winning streak since their bye.

The Seahawks scored their most points since Week 3 in their 41-35 loss to Dallas a week and a half ago.

In their last 10 games, the teams have combined to score more than 47 points in 7 games, and the winning team has averaged 29.8 points in their last five matchups in San Fran.

Samuel will be hard pressed to repeat his 3-touchdown, 138 total yards performance vs. the Eagles, but he has found plenty of success vs. Seattle.

He has never been below this week’s mark of 69.5 against the Seahawks in five games. He has averaged 119 total yards a game in those matchups.

You better grab this line as fast as you can!

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