MLB Best Bets 4/16/24 - HR Predictor

MLB is back and so are my daily HR bet articles! Last season we finished with over $500 in profit using a $100 unit scale and betting between $10 and $25 on each pick. If you want access to my daily betting cards + our A.I. powered Moneyline Predictor and Total Predictor for every MLB game click here. These tools, as well as our Live Trends page get updated daily to provide you with the best knowledge possible when betting. Let's get into our Dinger Friday's pick...

*odds via FanDuel Sportsbook*

Corbin Carroll +520

Carroll only has one HR this season, but there's no better night for him to grab his second than Tuesday vs Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has already allowed 5 homeruns this season, and given that the total on this game is 10.5 runs we should be plenty of offense. Hendricks has been getting crushed by lefties this season, allowing over a .500 wOBA and ISO in the 2024 small-sample. Carroll is the best left-handed hitter in the Diamondbacks lineup, and matches up very well against Hendricks sinker. Since coming up to the big leagues, Carroll owns a monster .276 ISO vs the pitch. This is the best mark on the Diamondbacks by far. Overall, attacking Hendricks has been profitable so far this season and tonight we will back one of the best hitters in the national league against him. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)