NFL Week 5 - Danny's Best Bets

The run has started with my Danny’s Best Bets!

After struggling through the first three weeks of the NFL season, I came through with a nice 4-1 record in Week 4. My only loss was the NY Jets’ 10-9 loss to Denver as a 7.5-point home favorite.

Rain from Hurricane Helene slowed play in the game and the Broncos defense is one of the top units in the league.

But we have to stay positive to build off this great week.

Last Week's Record: 4-1 (.800)

Overall: 8-12 (.400)

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Now onto NFL Week 5 – Danny’s Best Bets.

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-190) on DraftKings

Under 49 on DraftKings

Henry has been a scoring machine this season as he has 6 total TDs in in four games.

But he has been a roll in the last two games. Henry has touched the ball 26 and 27 times in the Ravens’ two wins.

Henry also has 11 red zone touches this season and he has scored 4 times in those 11 touches.

I’m going with the under this AFC North Division battle as the two times have scored less than this week’s total in 6 of the last 10 games played in Cincinnati.

Plus, once the Ravens get a lead they tend to pound with Henry, wearing down teams in their two wins. And add in the fact that the Bengals are one of the slowest paced teams this season at 57.8 plays a game (tied for 27th).

Arizona at San Francisco

49ers over 34.5 team total points (+125) on DraftKings

Brock Purdy’s rise as the San Francisco QB has been meteoric.

From the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft to a Super Bowl QB has been a boon for 49ers fans but a bane in the “donkey” for Cardinals fans.

Purdy has started 3 times vs. San Fran’s NFC West Division rival and the 49ers have scored 35 or more points in all 3 games, averaging 39.2 points in those contest.

I think 34.5 points plus juice is a steal this week.

Green Bay at LA Rams

Jayden Reed over 80.5 alternate receiving yards (+125) on DraftKings

This play is based on the attrition of the Packers WR corps.

Christian Watson is doubtful with an ankle injury, and Romeo Doubs is doubtful after skipping practice on Thursday and Friday because he was unhappy with his role. And TE Luke Musgrave is expected to miss with an ankle injury.

This leaves Reed with a prime opportunity for a big game.

In his two games with Jordan Love as the Green Bay QB, Reed has averaged 138.5 receiving yards.

Surpassing 80.5 yards seems like a gift.

NY Giants at Seattle

D.K. Metcalf over 66.5 receiving yards on DraftKings

The Vegas oddsmakers believe the Seahawks may rely on their running game more as a big favorite vs. the NY Giants.

Seattle is a 7-point fav and the Giants will be without rookie standout WR Malik Nabers.

But what Metcalf has done the last 3 weeks makes this bet a possible winner.

Metcalf has averaged 112.3 receiving yards during that three-week span.

The Giants are a middle of the road pass defense, but in their last 2 games, they have given up 86 yards and 2 TDs to Amari Cooper and 98 yards and 1 TD to CeeDee Lamb.

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