NFL Week 6 - Danny's Best Bets
Danny Carpenter
10-12-2024
Danny Carpenter
10-12-2024
I went the wrong direction with my Danny’s Best Bets last week.
After finally putting a winning week together in Week 4, I fell to 1-4 in Week 5.
Derrick Henry scored his 7th touchdown of the season for my only win with his anytime TD bet.
But I believe I was on the right path with 3 of my 4 losses.
I completely missed on the under in the Baltimore-Cincinnati game. The Ravens can’t stop the pass and Bengals can’t stop anyone.
The San Francisco offense scoring more than 34.5 points looked good at halftime with 23 points, but the 49ers offense forgot to show up in the second half, scoring a big fat zero points.
Jayden Reed and D.K. Metcalf just missed their over receiving yards numbers by less than 10 yards.
Process pointing in the right direction but the results keep falling short.
Record: 1-4 (.200)
Overall: 9-16 (.360)
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Now onto NFL Week 6 – Danny’s Best Bets.
Jacksonville will be playing the first of its two games in London this season.
This will be the second season the Jaguars have played two games in London, and their games tend to be sluggish.
The Jaguars’ last four games in London have gone under this week’s total of 44.5 in 3 games.
And Chicago has one of the league’s top defenses this season, currently 7th in total team defense.
The Titans enter the game vs. the Colts as a small home favorite, and they have leaned heavily on Pollard for running the ball in 3 out of 4 games.
In his last game vs. Miami, Pollard had 22 carries for 88 yards and a score.
He has averaged 61.5 rushing yards a game this season, which includes one game of only 14 yards rushing.
Pollard has only played the Colts one other time in his career. And he had 91 rushing yards on 12 carries and 2 TDs with the Cowboys in 2022.
I think this is the line that will get me in the end.
The Ravens enter the game as the 2nd worse pass defense in the league, so why is McLaurin only at 4.5 receptions?
In his last four games, McLaurin has averaged 8 targets and 5.25 receptions a game.
However, the Commanders enter the game as a 6.5-point underdog despite their sparkling 4-1 record.
Brian Robinson Jr. may miss the game as he has not practiced at all this week with a knee injury.
McLaurin is the best proven offensive weapon for standout rookie QB Jayden Daniels.
This one is another head scratcher of a line for me.
The Broncos have not only covered but have won their last 5 meetings vs. the Chargers in the Mile High city.
Rookie QB Bo Nix and the offense has been finding ways to win behind their stout defense.
The Denver defense has given up 11.8 points in its last 4 contests.
This is a rematch of last year’s late season battle.
The Lions failed two-point conversion helped to lead the Cowboys to the NFC East Division title.
But this season, we see two the fastest playing teams in the NFL.
The Lions are 5th with 65.5 plays a game, while Dallas is 9th at 64.4 plays a game.
Detroit averages 26 points a game, while the Cowboys average 23.4 points a game.
As for the defenses, the Lions have a bottom 10 defense vs. the pass, while the Cowboys have the third best pass offense.
Detroit will rely on his balanced offense as they are in the Top 10 in both passing and rushing offense this season.
Expect plenty of offensive fireworks!
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