NFL Week 7 - Danny's Best Bets
Danny Carpenter
10-19-2024
Danny Carpenter
10-19-2024
Baby steps for my Danny’s Best Bets!
The last three weeks I’ve been .500 but with more information on the NFL season, the betting market has become a little clearer.
With so many injuries and players in new places, it sometimes takes a little while to get a feel to the new season.
But with some early trades with the trade deadline creeping closer, that may change some of the information gathered from earlier in the season.
But we still have 12 more weeks to right the ship!
Record: 3-2 (.600)
Overall: 12-18 (.400)
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Now onto NFL Week 7 – Danny’s Best Bets!
The Dolphins have had a week to get healthy and to get new QB Tyler Huntley more familiar with the offense.
De’Von Achane has cleared the concussion protocol and Raheem Mostert is another full week away his early season chest injury.
Huntley is 1-1 as the starter for the Dolphins after leading them to a 15-10 road win at New England in Week 5.
Plus, Miami has played well in Indy.
In their last five visits, the Dolphins have won the game outright twice and are 4-1 vs. this week’s spread in those five games.
Two things are going for Jefferson this week – he’s playing at home and he’s playing the Lions.
Jefferson has averaged 102.6 receiving yards in 25 career games at home.
Then add in NFC North Division rival Detroit, who he has torched for 134.5 receiving yards a game in 8 career games.
In his last three matchups vs. the Lions, he has finished with 223, 141 and 192 receiving yards, respectively.
Plus, Detroit lost their pass rushing specialist Aiden Hutchinson to a broken leg.
This line is way too low for Jefferson!
Nabers has been a reception machine since Week 1.
Nabers averaged 10 catches from Week 2 through Week 5 and now faces an Eagles defense that gives up big plays in the passing game.
The Eagles are the fifth worse defense vs. WRs this season and are giving up 13.7 yard per reception.
The Giants are 3-point underdogs and may be in a negative game script most of the game.
If Nabers catches 8 passes, he should surpass the second leg of the ladder.
Smith has surpassed 33.5 pass attempts in his past five games.
He has averaged 45.2 attempts during that period. And in his only other matchup vs. Atlanta as the Seattle QB, he threw the ball 44 times in 2022.
And the Seahawks enter the game as a small road dog as the Falcons are favored by 3 points. The game also has a total of 51.5 points.
For Seattle’s team total, they have averaged 29.2 points a game in its last five visits to Atlanta.
They have scored 33, 27, 20, 33 and 28 points in those five games.
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