NFL Week 9 - Danny's Best Bets
Danny Carpenter
11-02-2024
Danny Carpenter
11-02-2024
It’s time to get on a roll with Danny’s Best Bets!
The week off was refreshing and sad at the same time.
My family and I enjoyed watching our niece and nephew compete in their respective cross country meets, but we had to put down our oldest cat, sandwiched around their meets.
But life goes on and we remember the ones we lost.
And now it’s time to turn my season around with my Best Bets.
Record: 1-4 (.200)
Overall: 13-22 (.371)
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Now onto NFL Week 9 – Danny’s Best Bets.
I think the home dogs are ready to bounce back after the public has destroyed the books early this season.
I know Jayden Daniels has the Commanders riding on a high after last week’s game-winning Hail Mary, but the Giants have played well vs. Washington in New York City.
In their last five matchups in MetLife Stadium, the Giants are 4-1 vs. this week’s spread, including 3 wins.
Give me the points with the home dog.
The history on this game is hit and miss on the total.
The over has reached the 47.5 mark in 3 of the last 5 matchups at Lambeau Field. And they have averaged 50 points in those 5 games.
The game opened with a total of 49 and has gradually moved down.
And Jordan Love is expected to play after logging two limited practices on Thursday and Friday. However, Love sustained a groin injury last week at Jacksonville.
I’m not sold that Love will be able to move much in the pocket vs. the Lions defense – even without Aiden Hutchinson.
We have seen a nice surprise in passing volume for Herbert since the Chargers bye in Week 5.
Herbert’s highest pass attempts was 27 during the first 4 weeks of the season
Since coming out of the bye, Herbert has thrown the ball 32 times or more in the last three games.
He also had not thrown for more than 179 yards in the first 4, but he’s averaging 288.3 pass yards a game in the last three.
And McConkey has been Herbert’s favorite target this season.
McConkey has seen at least 6 targets or more in 6 of 7 games, including 21 targets in the last 3 games.
Swift has become the focal point of the running game since Week 4 for the Bears.
And since becoming the focal point, Swift has scored a TD in four straight games.
He has averaged 96.5 rushing yards and 18 carries a game in that timeframe. And Swift has also seen 13 targets in those four games.
He should be a big part of the offense again this week against Cardinals’ porous run defense (26th vs. the run this season).
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