NFL Week 10 - Danny's Best Bets
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NFL Week 10 - Danny's Best Bets

Danny Carpenter
11-09-2024

Last week for my Danny’s Best Bets could have been so much better!

Thanks to NY Giants coach Brian Daboll going for 2 twice and failing twice cost me from a 4-1 week.

The Giants lost to Washington, 27-22, as the Giants were 4-point underdogs.

My combo of Justin Herbert over 222.5 passing yards and Ladd McConkey over 4.5 receptions came through. The under 47.5 in the rain soaked Detroit-Green Bay contest also hit.

My other loss was D’Andre Swift’s anytime TD. When Caleb Williams struggles, the whole Bears offense struggles.

But we have another interesting week as the NY Giants and Carolina play in Germany as we have football all day.

Record: 3-2 (.600)

Overall: 16-24 (.400)

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Now onto NFL Week 10 – Danny’s Best Bets.

Atlanta at New Orleans

New Orleans +3.5 on DraftKings

Why is this line only 3.5 points?

I believe the Saints to play up as their special teams coach Darren Rizzi takes over the head coaching spot for the fired Dennis Allen.

And there is some history here as well.

The Saints have won 3 of the last 4 straight up in New Orleans. The Falcons haven’t won in New Orleans since 2019.

Buffalo at Indianapolis

Indianapolis +4 on DraftKings

Another game with an unexplainable line.

The last time the Bills won in Indianapolis, Doug Flutie was their quarterback in 1998.

The Colts have won six straight at home vs. Bills, and the only close game was 17-16 win 2006.

In those five other losses, Indianapolis has won by an average of 19.2 points.

Detroit at Houston

Houston +4 on BetMGM

I’m staying with the theme of home dogs.

The Lions are of the best teams in the league, however, they have struggled with the Texans.

Houston owns a 4-1 all-time record vs. the Lions, and the Lions have lost both of those contest that were played in Houston.

Plus, the Texans activated WR Nico Collins off the IR, even though he is still listed as questionable.

Minnesota at Jacksonville

Justin Jefferson over 92.5 receiving yards on DraftKings

This is only the fourth road game of the season for the Vikings, and Jefferson is usually a better option at home.

He has more than 550 receiving yards in home games compared to away games, and he averages more than 100 receiving yards in home games (103.0).

However, for his career, he has averaged 93.3 receiving yards in his career in away games.

And did I mention, the Jaguars are the second worst team in the league this season vs. the pass. They give up 264.3 passing yards a game.

San Francisco at Tampa Bay

George Kittle over 58.5 receiving yards on BetMGM

Kittle has been a beast the last four weeks, however, Christian McCaffrey is returning to the 49ers’ starting lineup.

I believe Kittle will be continued to be heavily involved while CMC gets into game shape.

Last season vs. the Bucs, Kittle had 8 catches for 89 yards and a TD.

We should see a repeat performance this year vs. the Bucs have the 3rd worse defense vs. TE in DK scoring.

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