What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the MLB Premium package.
MLB Record: 5-0 +7.00 units
WNBA Record: 6-4 +2.60 units
All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.
Max Fried UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts -165 2units (Braves):
There is definitely a lot of juice on this play but I love the play. Fried is going for his second start of the season, he pitched 5 innings and recorded 5 strikeouts in his first start. Our Data Dashboard Expert Luke has him projected for only 4 Ks. So, we have a pretty big edge tonight. He faces some tough bats for the Rays tonight. They are in the bottom half of the league in K%. With top half in Slugging and OBP%. They are able to get on enough to prevent Ks. One thing the Rays do struggle with are they are in the bottom half of the league in Contact % and SwStr% (Swing and a miss %) so they aren’t getting contact at a high enough rate to be extremely comfortable in them. What the Rays do possess though is a very low F-Strike% per Fangraphs, they rank one of the best at only 42%. This means they are only generating a strike on their first pitch at an average of 42%. This sets them up nicely for success not trying to climb out of a 0-1 count. Which helps me deal with their low contact %.