Joey's MLB Prop Bets Friday 08/07

What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the MLB Premium package.

• MLB Record:
  • July: 6-1 +7.33 units
  • August: 1-2 -2.6 units

All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.

Trevor Bauer under 7.5 Ks -132 2 units to win 1.52 units (Reds): Bauer is a great pitcher but 8 Ks is way too much for him tonight. Bauer sees a huge drop of in k% between righties and lefties. He has a k% of 31% against righties and a k% of 24% against lefties. He is going up against 5 lefties and one switch hitter. This means the odds are not on his side to hit a ceiling game tonight. He throws a changeup to lefties at a rate of 19% and the lefties on the Brewers hit at a high contact rate. 4 out of 5 of the lefties have a contact rate higher than 70%. He should struggle today and over Karma Projections have him at 5.8 Ks on 4.66 innings pitchd.