What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.
Dylan Cease UNDER 6.5 Ks -140 2 units to win 1.43 units: Cease has started off the season with a rough patch. 19 innings pitched and 14 strikeouts. He has never gone over 5 Ks in a game. Cease is going up against the Tigers who haven’t been the best bats but Cease has been struggling all season. He has a 17% K% and a k/9 of 6.5 while giving up 2.3 HRs/9. If Detroit can get to him early, he won’t last long enough to get 7 Ks. He has really struggled against lefties this season and 3 of his first batters are lefties. He rarely throws sliders against lefties while throwing sliders at a 35% rate against Righties. Detroit has struggled this season leading the league in first pitches as strikes at a 14% rate but on the other hand Cease has been one of the worst pitchers throwing a strike on the first pitch leading to players not having to dig themselves out of a 0-1 count like they normally do. Our Karma porjections where you can access them from buying the Optimizer package at DFSKarma has him projected for 5.6 Ks in 5 IPs.