NFL SUNDAY BLITZ REPORT - WEEK 4
Zach James
10-02-2020
Zach James
10-02-2020
Zach’s weekly NFL Sunday Blitz Report is – The GAME within the GAME – or your weekly guide to help you decide what to target within each NFL Sunday game. Whether it is a spread, money line, total, teaser, parlay or live trading a game, this article and the BLITZ CHEAT SHEET is here to help you decide where to put your focus, energy and most importantly – MONEY!
SPREAD |
TOTAL |
EXOTIC |
LIVE BET |
GAME OF WEEK |
6-6-1 |
5-3 |
8-3 |
1-3-1 |
2-0-1 |
Sitting strong at 22-15-3 and have hit 2 of the Game of the Weeks and pushed on the other one.
Unlike a dominant week 1 and 2, week 3 had its share of struggles. The week 3 Blitz Report underperformed, but was bailed out by a strong Game of the Week performance by the Lions covering 1H, the game and a live play on both sides being profitable as well, including if live bet the game and took the appropriate +EV sides of Lions and Cards Spreads/Money Lines. My strongly considered and secondary option for Game of the Week, E.g. Rams @ Bills, also had the volatility to cash a bunch of tickets, especially if live played a money line when Rams were down and hedged appropriately on the comeback. That type middle opportunity would have been +300 net EV if hedged properly if not more.
Spreads went a brutal 1-4, as the Eagles, Saints and Giants were all narrow handicaps, but Texans was a legitimate right side, but should have laid off due to the predictably terrible coaching of Bill O’Brien. Despite even Bill, the refs gifted a first down to the Steelers with a terrible PI call on a 4th down late in the game that resulted in a Steelers FG. That play in and of itself blows the a cover, as Steelers went for 2 to push their lead to 7 instead of 6 late.
Totals also underperformed going 1-2 and getting scared off from a Vikings cover and leaning to a slow-potting under instead hurt us.
Live Bets FINALLY got off the snide with Dallas and Seattle having a predictably volatile game-flow that if took the recommended Dallas over 7, you would have cashed.
Exotics went 2-1 with the Rams hitting on their comeback and the Patriots sticking it to the Raiders.
Here is a recap of the cheat sheet from Week 3:
Now – for what you are here for, week 4!
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