Brad’s Best Bets – College Football – Week 6

College Football Record: 33-24-1 +14.75 units    

 

University of Central Florida (-2.5) at Memphis

Listen, I am all for trends and stats that sway you one way or the other. If you look at the UCF game this week, all the trends tell you to take Memphis. I mean UCF is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Weird game two weeks ago for the Knights. Dillon Gabriel didn’t not play as expected, but that could be attributed to the poor play calling or the wet conditions. Either way, I am putting a line through the Tulsa game and moving onto the Memphis game. I Fully expect this game to feature a lot of points and two very skilled QBs. The advantage for UCF lies in the secondary. Memphis proved against SMU they have a lot of questions in the secondary that need to be answered. Shane Buechele threw for a total of 456 yards and 3 TDs. That secondary is going to have trouble against the efficient Dillon Gabriel who has thrown for 1,55 yards, 9 TDs and 2 INT. UCF is also coming into this game with a 13-game win streak over Memphis. With a favorable line of -2.5, I will gladly take UCF to win and cover.

Bet 1.5 unit to win 1.3 units on UCF -2.5 (-115)