What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
NBA: 4-3 +2.6 units
MLB: 2-0 +2.01 units
NFL: 5-5 -1.54 units
Total: 10-8 +2.07 units
September Record: 58-48 +25.91 units
All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.
Clayton Kershaw under 6.5 Ks +128 1 unit to win 1.28 units: Since Kershaw won his first Cy Young in 2011, he has appeared in 30 playoff games. He has gone over this number 11 times, with 7 of them coming before 2016. Since 2017 he has pitched in 17 playoff games. He has gone over 6.5 Ks 4 out of those 17 games and is now labeled a playoff choker. He has also pitched in five world series games in his career and went over 5 Ks once, going for 11 Ks in the 2017 WS, with a 9.0 K/9 and a 25% k%. If you exclude his 11 K game, he has a 7.2 k/9 and 19%. He just doesn't seem to have it in the playoffs. The matchup does worry me a little because Rays have struggled with sliders this season, having six guys in their lineup with a whiff% of 30% or more against sliders. I am only taking this bet because we are getting + money on it and there is more than a 50% chance he goes under so the value is there. This postseason he has gone over 6.5 Ks once and that was against the Brewers, who have one of the worst K% in the league.