NFL SUNDAY BLITZ REPORT - WEEK 7
Zach James
10-23-2020
Zach James
10-23-2020
Zach’s weekly NFL Sunday Blitz Report is – The GAME within the GAME – or your weekly guide to help you decide what to target within each NFL Sunday game. Whether it is a spread, money line, total, teaser, parlay or live trading a game, this article and the BLITZ CHEAT SHEET is here to help you decide where to put your focus, energy and most importantly – MONEY!
SPREAD |
TOTAL |
EXOTIC |
LIVE BET |
GAME OF WEEK |
13-10-1 |
8-6 |
15-5-1 |
2-3-3 |
2-1-3 |
On the season, the Blitz Report is holding steady at 40-25-8, with the Game of the Week being net +1 on the season. Week 7 has so far been the hardest to handicap, but because of that, I spent extra time turning every stone – until COVID turns another one after this article’s posting – I see you Saints…
Week 6 was far and away the best week of the season for me personally, and the Blitz Report did a solid 5-2-3. Apologies on skipping by the 49ers games – a technical oversight, for if following in discord premium, we had 49ers across the board and in Core – and it was a top play for me as well.
In unfamiliar territory, I graded out 3 pushes which I want to detail quickly. I posted Eagles money line as an “exotic,” but because they covered the spread, I figure the value would have been to play Eagles money line at +300+ and split it with the spread as a modest hedge. Typically, I recommend this split in the note, but for some reason I only recommended a long odds dog. To say, that would not grade out as a poor recommendation when the dog covers and came within a two-point conversion of tying at the end of the game – hence the push. I am grading Lions Live Play a push even though I recommended Lions 1st half which covered and the lions to win/cover because I expected a Jags comeback that would have set up for some nice middling opportunity. The important half of this push was right, but the latter part did not go our way. The last push was the Game of the Week – Bucs/Packers. As predicted, Bucs was the right side, and could have gotten them at all kinds of good numbers down 10. That said, once Bucs got up big, Packers and the over were dead in the water, so grading this as another push, as shouldn’t have lost much if at all on this play.
My favorite spreads of the week Bears and Steelers cashed with ease, losing only the heartbreaking bad beat of Texans +3.5 due to overtime rules and a fortunate turn of events by the Titans against an abhorrent Texans defense.
The two under recommendations are right in line with NFL trends around the league in week 6, but on whiffed on the Bengals under and nailed the Broncos under.
Exotics went 2-0-1 with the two easy winners being a Dolphins and Washington Football team tease, the latter of which could have easily lost by a touchdown.
Here is a recap of the cheat sheet from Week 6:
Now – for what you are here for, week 7!
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