Brad’s Best Bets – College Football – Week 7

2020 College Football Record: 38-29-3 +15.96 units

 

Free Bet of the Week: #17 Iowa State Cyclones at #6 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3)

Generally, I like to make my free bet of the week a multi-unit wager. But this game is a MUST bet situation, but we do not want to leave ourselves susceptible to too much exposure. But this is a great match up for us to break down, I feel we have a bit of an edge with the Oklahoma State defense vs the Iowa State offense. This matchup has huge implications, both teams are trying to fight for that top spot in the Big 12. For the Cyclones there is a lot to like. Winners of three out of their four matches with their only loss coming at the beginning of the season to Louisiana. Since then they have won their last 3 and covered in 2 of those. They also own a big victory over defending conference champs, Oklahoma. Prior to the season start, many analysts believe it would be Brock Purdy who would be responsible for this team’s success. With 912 yards, 4 TDs and only 1 interception, you could say he is playing well. But the true spark plug for this team is sophomore running back, Breece Hall. Hall has already accounted for 8 TDs and 531 yards on the ground.  How Hall plays in the big game will dictate the outcome of the match. I spoke on it earlier; Oklahoma States defense is playing great football. It’s not often when a Big 12 team other than TCU holds their opponents to under 10 points per game. They are very stout against only allowing 93.67 yards per game. Good news for Oklahoma State is, starting QB Spencer Sanders has been cleared to play after having only thrown two passes and being injured in game one. Although Sanders gives this Cowboys team a lift, he much like Burdy for Iowa State is not the focal point of this offense. That belongs junior running back Chuba Hubbard. Hubbard came back to Stillwater to do something special. The Cowboys were my preseason pick to win the Big 12 and I believe this year, they have the defense to make their dreams become a reality. If we look at two very important trends, Iowa State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games, and Oklahoma State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9. I am putting one unit on Oklahoma State to win and cover the 3 points.

Bet 1 unit to win .95 unit on Oklahoma State -3 (-105)