Joey's NFL Primetime Props 10/26/20
What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
NBA: 4-3 +2.6 units
MLB: 2-0 +2.01 units
NFL: 5-5 -1.54 units
Total: 10-8 +2.07 units
September Record: 58-48 +25.91 units
All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.
Total Field Goals Scored OVER 3.5 +125 1 unit to win 1.25 units: I am changing up my player prop to a game prop tonight. They completely messed up this prop and I love it. Field Goals aren’t always predictable and I usually like targeting higher scoring and higher paced games for overs on field goals, but the edge is different today. The Rams and Bears are both some of the top redzone defenses in the league. The Rams have been much better in the redzone at home than on the road. They are allowing a league best touchdown% of 25% at home, but unfortunately a league worst 90% redzone touchdown% on the road. Luckily the Rams are at home tonight. In addition, the Bears rank a league best, only allowing a touchdown on 36% of redzone trips. On top of that, both these teams’ offenses are on the bottom half of the league in redzone offense this season. The Rams are scoring on 60% of their redzone trips and the Bears are scoring on only 52% of their redzone trips. The Rams rank 10th in the league, with 3.8 redzone trips per game and the Bears rank 26th with 3.2 redzone attempts per game. As well as, the Bears allowing 3.7 redzone trips per game and the Rams allowing 3.2 redzone trips per game. This should equate to around seven redzone trips tonight total for both teams. They should only score around three redzone touchdowns in their seven trips leading to four attempts in the redzone and potentially one or two more field goal attempts outside the redzone. All in all, we should see five or six field goal attempts. So, as long as these kickers don’t suck this should be one of the easier overs for something that is + money on the year.