Will's Thursday Night College Football Bet

2020 College Football Record: 

5-3, +5.01 units

 

South Alabama at Georgia Southern (-3.5)

We have some Fun Belt action on a Thursday night! South Alabama going on the road to face Georgia Southern. If you are looking to bet tonight, there is definitely a lot of value with this game. 

Both teams are 3-2, but here’s the bottom line: The three South Alabama wins came against terrible teams, and Georgia Southern’s two losses came against very good teams. In fact, both of the Eagles' losses came against top 25 opponents. 

Georgia Southern has the 2nd best rushing attack in the Sun Belt led by arguably the best RB in the conference, J.D. King. He leads the Sun Belt in rushing yards with 490, and has tallied four touchdowns. He is going to create plenty of problems for this South Alabama defense. Georgia Southern’s QB Shai Werts is a dual threat that will also be a challenge for the Jaguars. 

On the other side, USA QB Desmond Trotter has put up some solid numbers, but Georgia Southern's defense will be able to contain him. The Eagles are 3rd in the Sun Belt allowing 361.2 yards per game. Their defense as a whole put together a solid showing against Coastal Carolina last week, tallying two interceptions. 

I don’t have confidence in South Alabama’s defense. They rank in the bottom half of the Sun Belt in most defensive categories, and the last time they played a team of Georgia Southern’s caliber, surrendered 42 points to UAB.

Georgia Southern has been more battle-tested this season than South Alabama, and the Eagles coming off of a loss will be tough to beat.

Plus, the Eagles have had the Jags number. Since joining the Sun Belt in 2013, Georgia Southern is 6-0 against South Alabama, including 5-1 ATS.

I’m taking the Eagles tonight. 

The play: Georgia Southern -3.5 (-110), 1 unit to win .91 unit