Will's Best Bets - College Football - Week 9

2020 College Football Record:

7-3, +6.83 units

 

Best Bet of the Week: #14 Oklahoma State at Kansas State (+12.5)

I’ve gone 5-0 on college football bets the last two weeks, and two of those plays have come from the Big 12 conference. I’m sticking with the Big 12 here for my free play of the week.

When I checked this line I had to blink twice. I couldn’t believe it. These are two teams that are right next to each other at the top of the Big 12 standings, yet the home team is a massive underdog. 

Yes, I understand that Kansas State was destroyed last week by West Virginia, (which didn’t surprise me since I had WVU -5) but the Wildcats caught the Mountaineers at a bad time. QB Will Howard played poorly, and nothing went right for K-State. I see a big bounce back game this week from the Wildcats.

Oklahoma State is also coming off of a loss, 41-34 to Texas in overtime. For the first time this season, their defense didn’t step up to the plate. While Will Howard is no Sam Ehlinger, I do believe he can find success against this OKST defense. This backup led K-State to a couple of big wins in the weeks after Skylar Thompson’s injury. For him, the more reps he gets, the more comfortable he will be leading this offense. With a couple starts under his belt now, he’ll be more ready this week against the Cowboys. 

I don’t deny that Oklahoma State will likely win this game, but the spread here is just too valuable not to take. This will be a hard fought battle that will come down to the very end, and Kansas State should cover the +12.5. 

The play: Kansas State +12.5 (-110), 1.5 units to win 1.36 units. 

 

For more plays, go premium.