Joey's NFL Primetime Props 11/23/20
What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my prop bets article. In this article, I will be outlining one of my favorite prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
NFL: 13-7 +4.18
September Record: 58-48 +25.91 units
October Record: 34-27 +9.26 units
All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sports book.
Mike Evans to score a touchdown +120 1 unit to win 1.2 units: I don’t normally like running touchdown props for WRs, but this prop is too good to pass up for this payout. All he needed is a 50% chance to score for this to be a profitable play, which he does.
Even with the addition of Antonio Brown, Mike Evans continues to be the focal point in the red zone. This is mainly what I look for in predicting WR touchdowns. I am not expecting an extremely high scoring game tonight. With how good both these defenses are, this should be a spot to take advantage of.
Evans is projected to be shadowed or at least covered by Jalen Ramsey the majority of the game. This will lead to decreased chances for him to accumulate yards and catches. Which luckily, we don’t care about this prop. It is his work in the red zone, where we find the gem in this prop. Evans has been targeted 12 times in the red zone, out of Brady’s 18 red zone attempts. On top of that, he has been targeted six times in the end zone, this out of Brady’s seven end zone attempts over the last 3 weeks. I am not expecting any big plan touchdowns in this game, so as long as they are passing in the red zone he should be able to score with ease.