Will's Best Bets - College Football - Week 12

2020 College Football Record:

12-4, +11.74 units

 

Best Bet of the Week: LSU (+14.5) at #5 Texas A&M

It hasn’t been the season the defending champs were looking for, and the Aggies have exceeded expectations this season. Texas A&M came in at #5 in the first College Football Playoff rankings. 

The Tigers are coming off of a big 27-24 win at Arkansas last week, and in that game, found the confidence they need going into the last few weeks of the season. 

After really struggling against Auburn in the Tigers previous game, QB TJ Finley looked comfortable in the pocket and turned in a solid performance. The freshman threw for 271 yards and 2 TDs, with no turnovers. 

LSU also got the running game going with Ty Davis Price going for 104 yards. He has rushed for over 100 in two of his last three games.

I’m just not sold on Texas A&M. I think this is the most overrated team in the country. Yes, give them credit, they beat Florida, but that’s it. Their other five wins were against teams with a combined record of 7-22. 

Also, the Aggies haven’t played in three weeks and could be very rusty. 

LSU has dominated this rivalry since A&M joined the SEC, winning seven of the eight matchups (only loss was that wild 7OT game in 2018.) Plus, the Tigers have covered in their last nine games against Texas A&M.

I wouldn’t be that surprised if LSU won this game outright, so giving 14 and a half to the Tigers has insane value.

The play: LSU +14.5 (-110), 2 units to win 1.82 units. 

 

For more plays, go premium.