Brad's Early Leans, Bets, & Lines to Monitor
Brad Thomas
11-30-2020
Brad Thomas
11-30-2020
It’s vital that each week in college football to look at the lines as early as possible to get as much CLV (closing line value) as possible. Here is a quick dive into my early bets, leans, and lines I am monitoring to see which way the action takes us.
Later in the week, I will use this information to finalize my betting card. But from a handicapping perspective, this is information that is important for every bettor.
Buffalo -11.5 (-115)
Louisiana Layfette +2.: The line will move closer to 1, so if you like ULL + points you will lose money all week.
Air Force /Utah State: Total under 51: Leaned under here. Didn’t want to miss out on the good total So it’s a lock in for me. Line will move more. Aggies are 9-1-1 under in last 11 in December. Air Force is an under machine, 5-1 to the under in last 6. 4-0 Under in last four as favorite.
Texas -10: Line already moved 2 points. This could be a HUGE bounce back spot for Big Sam and company
Oklahoma State -2.5: Line has only moved one point. But I am a believer in this OK State team. Tied for second in the Big 12 is not a surprise. Most thought they would be competitive. With TCU having a "down year" defensively, this could be a perfect spot if you jump on this line early.
Liberty +7: Listen, this line should move so I am not worried about locking them in now. I won’t bet it at +7 but I could be entertained the closer to double digits we get.
Florida -17: This could be a square play. Tennessee hasn’t done anything in WEEKS! But with the Tennessee being 1-5-1 ATS
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