Joey's NFL Primetime Props 12/14/20

What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article, I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.

November Record:

NFL: 13-7 +4.18

September Record: 58-48 +25.91 units

October Record: 34-27 +9.26 units

All Prop lines are based on Draftkings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.

Marquise Brown UNDER 3.5 receptions (-112) 1.12 units to win 1 unit: Brown is still over projected for receptions, based on the time where Mark Andrews and Willie Snead was out of the lineup. Over the last two weeks, Brown averaged 8 targets and 4.5 receptions. That is a 56% catch% which is not good at all. This partly comes from Brown's high aDOT. He is mainly a boom or bust guy. He is currently 11th in the league with a 14.52 aDOT. aDOT means average depth of target.  This is not the type of game where he will excel, due to the expected high winds. He thrives in potential shootouts and close games. Both teams will look to pound the ball and run a lot of clock, leading to a decrease in possessions and pace as well. Brown still has the ability to go over yards due to his big playability. He has a lot of games where he does nothing then all of a sudden he catches a 50-yard touchdown. Without Denzel Ward that is definitely possible.