Will's Best College Football Bets - Conference Championship Week

2020 College Football Record:

17-6, +15.98 units

 

It’s conference championship week, and we have several good plays for you here at Bet Karma.

 

Best Bet of the Week: #20 Tulsa (+14.5) vs #9 Cincinnati 

I call Tulsa the “covering snake”. If you bet against them, they will sneak up and bite you.

I had them -2.5 against SMU back on November 14th. They were down by 17 late in the 3rd quarter, and came back to win and cover.

The very next week, they needed a hail mary just to force overtime against Tulane. Even then Green Wave betters were feeling decent, before the Golden Hurricanes ran back a pick-six to cover the 5.5 point spread.

In their last game, Navy was giving Tulsa all they could handle all game, but the Golden Hurricanes hit a FG late to win 19-6 and cover the -12.

My point: Don’t bet against Tulsa. 

I understand how good of a team Cincinnati is. Not to mention, they will be playing with some extra motivation after being dropped to #9 by the playoff committee.

However, giving 14 and a half to a top 20 team in Tulsa creates plenty of value, mainly because of their defense. The Golden Hurricanes are only allowing 19.9 points per contest. 

The Bearcats offense is legit, but Tulsa can slow them down.

Cincinnati will likely win the game but I expect Tulsa to make it interesting. Or at the very least, sneak up on Cincy betters in the end and cover the 14.5

The play: Tulsa +14.5 (-110) 2 units to win 1.82 units

For more plays, go premium.

#6 Iowa State (+6) vs #10 Oklahoma

The Cyclones have had a magical season, even with the season opening loss to Louisiana. Iowa State has won five straight games, climbing into the top 6 of the Playoff rankings. 

Oklahoma has also turned the corner, winning six straight after a 1-2 start. They haven’t lost since falling to Iowa State, 37-30, on October 3rd.

The Sooner defense has improved throughout the year, but I don’t see them stopping Brock Purdy. The Iowa State QB has thrown for over 2,220 yards this season, with 17 TDs and 6 INTs. 

Iowa State’s rushing attack might even be a bigger threat. Breece Hall leads the conference in rushing yards by a MILE, with 1,357 on the season. West Virginia’s Leddie Brown is in 2nd with 945. 

Hall also has 17 TDs to go along with the Big 12 rushing title.

I just think the Cyclones are the better team here. Yes, beating a team like Oklahoma twice in one season is damn near impossible, but giving 5.5 points to the 6th ranked team in the country provides value.

Iowa State hasn’t won a conference title in 108 years. This is their time. 

The play: Iowa State +6 (-110) 1 units to win 0.9 units

 

Stanford (+7) vs UCLA

Stanford is on a roll, having won three straight after an 0-2 start to the season. From the jump, I thought the Cardinals were a solid football team, and sure enough, they have proven to be just that even after the rocky start.

UCLA blew a chance to pick up a big win against USC last week. The Bruins were up 18 in the 2nd half and ended up losing, 43-38. There’s a report out that UCLA may be looking to move on from Chip Kelly, leading me to believe that there’s some dysfunction going on within the program. Even if there isn’t a report like that could be a big distraction. 

I think Stanford is the better football team anyway so let’s take them with the points.

 The play: Stanford +7 (-110) 1 units to win 0.9 units

 

I’m also going to add a teaser to this.

 

6-Point Teaser (+275): Tulsa +20.5, Iowa State +12, Stanford +13, Notre Dame +16.5 

.5 units to win 1.38 units.