Joey's NFL Primetime Props 12/28/20

What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article, I will be outlining one of my favorite prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.

All prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sports book.

Jakobi Meyers OVER 51.5 receiving yards -112 1.12 units to win 1 unit: Meyers has been Newton's favorite target since Edelman went down with an injury in week 7. He is averaging 7.4 targets a game and 67.7 receiving yards per game.  Even since Harry has been back, Meyers hasn’t missed a beat having a 34% air yards share and a 26% target share. Going over this total six out of nine games played.

He also gets a matchup boast against the Bills who you want to target out of the slot compared to on the outside. The Bills have two of the best outside cornerbacks in the league; Tre’Davious White and Levi Wallace. So, it’s better off to avoid them and focus on the interior. Meyers runs 60% of his snaps in the slot and 30% on the right side of the field. White does play on the left side of the field, so Meyers has a chance to run into him when playing on the outside but more often than not he will have the advantage playing in the slot against Taron Johnson who is 1.51 yards per route covers and a 75% catch %. In a game that the Patriots should be trailing, the Patriots will be forced to pass more in a negative game script, leading to more opportunities for Meyers to go over.