Joey's NBA Prop Bets Saturday 01/23/21
What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my prop bets article. In this article, I will be outlining one of my favorite prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
Premium: 31-26 +6.53 units
Free Plays: 2-5 -3.14 units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
We were betting lighter to start the season but we can start becoming a lot more confident in our plays moving forward. Early season NBA is always annoying.
Lebron James UNDER 42.5 Points Rebounds Assists -120 1.20 units to win 1 unit: Lebron James has always been known for his ability to stuff the stat sheet. This year has been a lot different than years past. He has seen a decrease in production mainly due to a decrease in minutes. He is averaging a career-low of 32.6 minutes per game. These minutes have been steadily decreasing for the last 5 years. This minute decrease has led to some of his lowest averages in years, including his lowest scoring average since his rookie year. He is averaging 24.4 PPG, 7.8 RPG, and 7.6 APG, which comes out to 39.8 points, rebounds, assists per game. He has gone over 42.5 PRA only six times out of 16 games this season, mainly going over in close games. The Lakers are projected 9 point favorites tonight. In games decided by double digits, Lebron has gone under this mark seven out of eight times. The lone over he only had 43 PRA. Which only came from a season-high 13 rebounds. James has faced the Bulls once already this season, which was without Anthony Davis, where he put up 28/7/7 coming out to 42 PRA. This is a similar bet to Lakers -9 but in prop form, so you can bet Lakers -9 if you prefer or can't play this prop bet.
Lebron will be going up against the Chicago Bulls tonight who are a liability on defense. They allow the 4th most points per game and 4th worst defensive efficiency in the league. While only allowing the 6th least rebounds correlating with the sixth-best rebounding % in the league. Although, they also play at the second-highest pace in the league. This pace normally would cause me to have some concerns playing an under, but the last time the Lakers played the Bulls, the Lakers completely control the pace and played the Lakers 4th slowest game of the season. While the Bulls played their slowest paced game of the season by far. The better team is normally able to control pace like we saw last time. I expect the same this go around.