Saturday CBB Bet: UNLV vs Air Force

UNLV vs Air Force isn’t going to draw a lot of attention outside of Las Vegas, but I see it as a good betting spot. I typically don’t like laying double digits in conference play, but I have no problem doing it here. 

 

The Mountain West Conference currently has a 71% home win percentage. This is the highest of all 31 conferences playing college basketball. It’s one of the reasons I bet Nevada money line at home last night to upset Boise State. If you were in the BetKarma CBB Premium Discord channel you probably took advantage of that +170 money line too. The Mountain West Conference also has the second highest rate of blowouts with nearly 36% of games finishing with a 20 or more point differential. 

 

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UNLV is coming off four straight tough games against top tier MWC teams in Utah State and Nevada. Now they get to play Air Force, the number 324 team on KenPom. Air Force is the worst rebounding team in the conference as well as the worst defensive team. UNLV will have a significant size advantage down low leading to offensive rebounds and easy points in the paint.  6’11” 235 lb. senior Mbacke Diong has three inches and forty pounds over Air Force’s starting center. I also expect UNLV backcourt duo of David Jenkins and Caleb Grill to sink plenty of threes against Air Force’s dismal perimeter defense. 

 

UNLV -13 (-105) for 1 unit

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You can follow Greg Domsic on Twitter at @Dom_MSU